NBA and NFL betting tips and match previews.

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills NFL match analysis, predictions and odds

This Sunday, the New England Patriots (1-5) are set to face the Buffalo Bills (4-2) at the Gillette Stadium. Going into this AFC East matchup, the Buffalo Bills sit second in the division with four wins from six matches, while one win in as many games leaves the New England Patriots fourth. The Buffalo Bills are on a four-game winning streak in this rivalry. They’re looking to win again this week and continue their playoff charge.

Form New England Patriots

A 21-17 defeat to the Las Vegas Raiders last time out extended the New England Patriots’ losing streak to three games, leaving the hosts 2-7 across their past 10 outings.

The New England Patriots offense has a long way to go before we can consider it a top-tier unit, having managed just 12.0 points per game this season. The defense has lagged behind compared to most of the league’s defensive lines, allowing 25.3 points per game this year.

The New England Patriots hope to make it as playoff contenders this season. Their determined roster, led by key players, instills optimism. With their eye on the postseason, they aim to secure a coveted playoff spot and make a strong impact on the field once more.

Form Buffalo Bills

The Buffalo Bills are 4-2 for the season and their latest match against the New York Giants finished 14-9.

The Buffalo Bills offense has been stellar on the road, averaging 26.5 points away from home and 28.8 points in all six of their games this season. The visiting defense looks more than capable of taking on any offense at any place, having allowed just 12.5 points on the road this year to post the second-best away record.

Last season, the Buffalo Bills came home in first place in the AFC East standings after going 13-3 across all games. The visitors naturally hope to get even better this season. However, like every other team in the NFL, sealing a spot in the playoffs during this regular season is the first and foremost priority for now.


The total reached 41.0 points in the most recent encounter between these teams in January 2023. The matchup ended in a 35-23 road victory for the Buffalo Bills back then. The New England Patriots came away with one win from their past five matchups against the Buffalo Bills, leaving them with an overall record of 1-4.

In their past ten head-to-head games, the New England Patriots pulled off 17.9 points on average per game, whereas the Buffalo Bills managed 25 points per match.


Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots odds

Odds for Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots is Provided by Bet365. For a full list of odds for the match visit Bet365.com

  • Moneyline (ML): Buffalo Bills (1.25) | New England Patriots (4.20)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Buffalo Bills -8.5 (1.91) | New England Patriots +8.5 (1.91)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 41.0 (1.91) | (1.91)

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Take the Buffalo Bills to win (1.25) outright.

Fresh off a 21-17 loss to the Las Vegas Raiders, a quick recovery looks unlikely for the New England Patriots. The 4.20 odds position them as the underdogs for Sunday’s matchup, indicating a perceived weaker standing. The Buffalo Bills are coming off a 14-9 victory against the New York Giants. This boosted their last five games record to an impressive 4-1. They’re the favorites, with 1.25 odds, signifying a 80% chance of seizing a road win.

This NFL matchup has us favoring the Buffalo Bills (1.25). After their 35-23 win against the New England Patriots, it’s clear that the Buffalo Bills have the upper hand. With such favorable odds, the Buffalo Bills are the ones to watch for a likely victory, even away from home.

Against the Spread

Place your bets on the Buffalo Bills -8.5 (1.91) for this game.

The Buffalo Bills are expected to win by more than a touchdown in Sunday’s road trip. The visitors open as 8.5-point favorites over the New England Patriots on the Week 7 betting line. The ten most recent matchups in this series have seen an average points margin of 12.9 points.

The New England Patriots have gone 1-5 ATS this season and 0-3 ATS at the Gillette Stadium. Taking the New England Patriots against the spread has been a bad call in recent weeks. They’ve failed to cover in four of their last four home matches and are a dismal 2-7 ATS in the past nine outings overall.

The Buffalo Bills have gone 1-1 ATS on the road. Their overall record for the season is 3-3 ATS. The visitors are 1-3 ATS from their four most recent road trips, as well as 4-5 ATS in their last nine games overall.


Bet the Total under 41.0 (1.91) for this game.

The last ten head-to-head games saw an average of 42.9 points. Based on this stat alone, the total may end somewhere between 40 and 45 points when the Buffalo Bills visit the New England Patriots.

The total line currently stands at 41.0 for Sunday. From their last ten meetings, the New England Patriots and the Buffalo Bills have exceeded this 41.0 line in combined points total on five occasions.

The New England Patriots are 1-5 O/U this season. Their last five games finished under the total. Interestingly, the score went under in six of the New England Patriots’ past eight matchups against teams from the AFC East. The total points average was 41.4 during this period.

The last two Buffalo Bills road games went under the total. Their record away from home is 0-2 O/U. The Buffalo Bills had four of their previous 10 games going above the predicted total line, averaging 43.4 points.

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