NBA and NFL betting tips and match previews.

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs NFL match analysis, predictions and odds

The Buffalo Bills will play host to the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday at the Highmark Stadium for an AFC divisional playoff game. The second-seeded Buffalo Bills defeated the Pittsburgh Steelers 31-17 in their Wild Card game, while the third-ranked Kansas City Chiefs beat the Miami Dolphins by a score of 26-7. The Buffalo Bills have won two straight against the Kansas City Chiefs. They enter Sunday’s game feeling good about their chances of going to the AFC Championship Game.

Form Buffalo Bills

The Buffalo Bills enter the divisional round of the playoffs riding a six-game winning streak. They beat the Pittsburgh Steelers 31-17 in their wild-card game. The victory left the home side 8-2 at the Highmark Stadium for this season.

The Buffalo Bills offense has put a solid 29.7 points on average at the Highmark Stadium. Their season-scoring average is 26.8 points per game. In defense, the Buffalo Bills have only allowed an average of 15.0 points at home and 18.2 across all their games.

One year ago, the Buffalo Bills had a heartbreaking loss in the divisional playoffs. This season, they were determined to make it further in the playoffs and are on course to do so. The hosts have enjoyed a 12-6 season and can make the AFC Championship Game with a win in this round.

Form Kansas City Chiefs

The Kansas City Chiefs punched a ticket to the divisional round after beating the Miami Dolphins 26-7 in their wild-card game. They are 6-4 in their last 10 matches and 3-2 in the past five on the road.

This season, the Kansas City Chiefs boast a scoring average of 22.1 points and only 20.8 away from home. They’ve put up a stronger fight in defense, only allowing 16.7 points per game on average and 17.8 points on the road.

The Kansas City Chiefs had an excellent regular season, culminating in their victory in the AFC West. They took the third seed in the AFC Conference following a 12-6 season. They look to continue on their path toward a Super Bowl title on the road.


The Buffalo Bills won their last two matches against the Kansas City Chiefs. The previous matchup ended 17-20 in their favor in December 2023, while the game before that ended in a 20-24 victory in October 2022. The implied probability of a third straight win for the Buffalo Bills (-150) is at 60%. In the past five matchups, the Buffalo Bills claimed three wins against the Kansas City Chiefs to go 3-2 in this series.

The Buffalo Bills managed an average of 22.3 points a game in their ten most recent outings against the Kansas City Chiefs, who averaged 24.3 points.


Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills odds

Odds for Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills is Provided by Bet365. For a full list of odds for the match visit Bet365.com

  • Moneyline (ML): Kansas City Chiefs (+125) | Buffalo Bills (-150)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Kansas City Chiefs +2.5 (+100) | Buffalo Bills -2.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (-110) | (-110)

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Pick the Buffalo Bills to win (1.67) for your moneyline bet as they should be locked on at these odds.

Riding a red-hot six-game winning streak, the Buffalo Bills are brimming with confidence. They host the Kansas City Chiefs as the -150 favorites. These odds imply there is a 60% chance of another win. The Kansas City Chiefs are riding a strong wave of performance. With their 26-7 victory over the Miami Dolphins, they’re now 4-1 in their last five games. Despite this, they enter the road game as the underdogs, carrying +125 odds.

The Buffalo Bills are in a favorable position at the Highmark Stadium, with the -150 in their favor. They won their last match against the Kansas City Chiefs with a 17-20 score. This makes betting on the Buffalo Bills a sound decision.

Against the Spread

Back the Kansas City Chiefs +2.5 (2.00) for the best chance of a payout.

The Buffalo Bills are expected to win by just over a field goal, but not much more than that. The hosts open up as 2.5-point favorites over the Kansas City Chiefs for Sunday. With the average margin of victory in the last five matchups of this series being 9.0 points, it seems as though the smart money lies in a one-score game on Sunday.

This season, the Buffalo Bills have gone 8-10 ATS and 5-5 ATS at the Highmark Stadium. In terms of covering the spread, the Buffalo Bills have been a safe bet recently. They have covered the spread in their last two outings, going 3-2 ATS in their last five matchups in all.

The Kansas City Chiefs boast a record of 10-7-1 ATS and a 4-3-1 ATS record away from home. In their past ten matches, the Kansas City Chiefs went 5-4 ATS and ended up 5-4 ATS from their ten most recent road trips.


Take the Total over 45.5 (1.91) for the best over/under bet

The last ten games between the Buffalo Bills and the Kansas City Chiefs offered a decent average of 46.6 points on the board.

The combined average of 55.8 points that the Buffalo Bills and the Kansas City Chiefs have earned in their last five games is 10.3 points higher than the total line of 45.5 set for their latest match-up. Those who choose to bet on the Over in the total market will get -110 odds in return.

The Buffalo Bills carry a record of 7-11 O/U in all their games and 4-6 O/U at the Highmark Stadium. The total went under in three of the last five home games, averaging 44.2 points. The Buffalo Bills are 4-6 O/U across their last ten games overall.

The Kansas City Chiefs are 50/50 on the road this season, having gone 4-4 O/U against the total. Their record in all games stands at 5-13 O/U. The average number of points scored in the past 10 Kansas City Chiefs matches was 38.2, with seven of these games finishing under the total.

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