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Miami Dolphins vs Dallas Cowboys NFL match analysis, predictions and odds

The Miami Dolphins (10-4) and Dallas Cowboys (10-4) meet for a Week 16 matchup at the Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday. Going into this Week 16 matchup, the Dallas Cowboys sit on top of the NFC East with ten wins. Likewise, the Miami Dolphins sit in the first position in the AFC East. The Miami Dolphins are favored for the win as the Dallas Cowboys arrive. However, the visitors appear strong enough to pose a challenge, making this a tricky situation for the home team.

Form Miami Dolphins

The Miami Dolphins outclassed the New York Jets in a 30-0 victory last time out. This should leave them in a good shape for their latest match at the Hard Rock Stadium, where they have claimed four wins in their last five games.

The Miami Dolphins bring one of the NFL’s most lethal offenses into the game. The hosts are one of the top-scoring outfits this season, having put 31.5 points on board so far. Surrendering 21.0 points per game leaves the Miami Dolphins’ defense around the middle of the pack compared to the rest of the league’s defensive units.

The Miami Dolphins began the regular season backed to go far in the playoff, and having gone 10-4 from 14 games so far, they’re on course to reach this target. The aim now for the home side is to at least maintain or improve on their second seed in the AFC Conference.

Form Dallas Cowboys

The Dallas Cowboys head to the Hard Rock Stadium on the back of a 31-10 defeat to the Buffalo Bills last week, leaving them 7-3 in their past ten games and 2-3 in the last five on the road.

The offense has continued to torment opposing defenses consistently, averaging 32.4 points in the last five matches. This leaves the Dallas Cowboys’ tally for the season at 30.8 points overall. On the defensive side of the ball, the visitors have allowed 18.9 points on average and 22.3 points on the road.

The Dallas Cowboys earned the right to be in the playoffs after a 10-4 season. The hosts rank first in the NFC East and second in the NFC Conference. While it will be nothing easy, they are hopeful of competing for the Super Bowl.


The total went under 50.0 points in the most recent encounter between these two sides in September 2019. Bragging rights went to the Dallas Cowboys, who beat the Miami Dolphins 31-6 to take a road win at the AT&T Stadium. The Dallas Cowboys are riding a three-game winning streak against the Miami Dolphins and are 8-2 in the last ten contests between their two teams.

While the Miami Dolphins averaged 17.3 points, the Dallas Cowboys performed an average of 25.7 points in their ten most recent head-to-head games.


Dallas Cowboys at Miami Dolphins odds

Odds for Dallas Cowboys vs Miami Dolphins is Provided by Bet365. For a full list of odds for the match visit Bet365.com

  • Moneyline (ML): Dallas Cowboys (-105) | Miami Dolphins (-115)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Dallas Cowboys +1.0 (-115) | Miami Dolphins -1.0 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 50.0 (-110) | (-110)

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Take the Miami Dolphins to win (1.87) outright.

The Miami Dolphins won 30-0 against the New York Jets recently. This should boost their confidence. They’re now -115 favorites, indicating an 54% chance of winning at the Hard Rock Stadium. Despite the odds stacked against them at -105, can we rule the Dallas Cowboys out? Let’s not forget that they emerged victorious in their previous meeting with the Miami Dolphins, securing a 31-6 win.

The Miami Dolphins (-115) have won four of the last five home matches and look like the sound choice on the moneyline against a Dallas Cowboys side, which has slipped to defeat in three of its last five road trips.

Against the Spread

Betting on the Miami Dolphins -1.0 (1.95) is our favorite play for this matchup.

The Miami Dolphins are favored by 1 point over the Dallas Cowboys, according to oddsmakers. This suggests that the game will likely be close and could go either way. The ten most recent matchups in this series have seen an average points margin of 12.2 points.

The Miami Dolphins have gone 9-5 ATS this season and 5-2 ATS at the Hard Rock Stadium. When playing against opponents from the NFC East Division, the Miami Dolphins have a 13-4 record ATS. They scored an average of 18.8 points and conceding 22.3 points.

The Dallas Cowboys have gone 3-4 ATS on the road. Their overall record for the season is 9-5 ATS. In their past ten matches, the Dallas Cowboys went 6-4 ATS and ended up 3-5 ATS from their eight most recent road trips.


Take the Total over 50.0 (1.91) for the best over/under bet

Judging by a points average of 43 points from the last ten matchups of this series, the total should land somewhere between 40 and 45 points for the latest encounter between the Miami Dolphins and Dallas Cowboys.

In three of the previous ten matchups Miami Dolphins and Dallas Cowboys encounters, the combined points total went above the 50.0 Total line. Opting for the Under bet in the Total market offers odds of -110 for the upcoming Sunday game.

The Miami Dolphins are 8-6 O/U against the total this season. Their record at the Hard Rock Stadium is 4-3 O/U. The Miami Dolphins had three of their previous five home games go above the predicted total line, averaging 45.8 points.

The Dallas Cowboys are 8-5 O/U against the total this season. Their record on the road is 3-3 O/U. The Dallas Cowboys had six of their previous 10 games going above the predicted total line, averaging 53.0 points.

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