Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders NFL match analysis, predictions and odds
The Philadelphia Eagles (8-0) welcome the Washington Commanders (4-5) to the Lincoln Financial Field for another divisional match-up in the NFC East on Monday. One look at each team’s records and it’s easy to see why this match is viewed as a one-sided affair. The Philadelphia Eagles are riding high, posting 8-0 to hold first place in the NFC East. The Washington Commanders, in contrast, are fourth in the NFC East with an overall record of 4-5 in this regular season. The Philadelphia Eagles are the big favorites to snatch the win on the moneyline. Considering how strongly the oddsmakers rate their chances against the Washington Commanders, the home crowd will be anything but impressed if they somehow slip up at the Lincoln Financial Field.
Form Philadelphia Eagles
Form-wise, the Philadelphia Eagles are looking strong on the back of eight consecutive wins. A 17-29 triumph over the Houston Texans last week extended their winning streak, leaving them 9-1 in their last 10 matches overall.
In terms of points added, it’s fair to say the Philadelphia Eagles have a strong and consistent offense. The unit has put 27.8 points on board in the last five matches after all, while averaging 28.1 points for this season. The Philadelphia Eagles have one of the most stubborn defensive units in the entire league, having allowed just 16.9 points per game this season.
The Philadelphia Eagles are touted as a potential Super Bowl challenger for this season. While it’s still early days, things are going according to plan so far. The hosts hold the first seed in the NFC Conference, leaving them set for a spot in the January playoffs. Until then, the aim will be to strengthen their position by either maintaining or improving their current seeding.
Form Washington Commanders
The Washington Commanders secured a 20-17 win over the Minnesota Vikings in their latest match, which improved their good run of form to three wins in five games.
Things haven’t improved on the offense front for the Washington Commanders at all, having put just 17.2 points on board across the last five matches. In all, the offense has averaged 17.7 points for the season. The defense, on the other hand, has really stepped up against opposing offenses of late. In the past five outings, the visitors have only given up 17.0 points on average. This is better than how they’ve fared over the season, having allowed 21.3 points per game in comparison.
This year, the Washington Commanders had been tipped to go far into the playoffs. However, nine matches into the current regular season, the visitors are only 4-5 and won’t be around when the NFL postseason gets underway in January unless, of course, they can turn things around quickly.
The Philadelphia Eagles claimed a strong 8-24 win, when they were last faced with the Washington Commanders. This encounter took place at the FedEx Field. The total has gone over 44.0 points in 12 of the last 25 meetings between the Philadelphia Eagles and Washington Commanders.
While the Philadelphia Eagles averaged 25.68 points, the Washington Commanders performed an average of 21.64 points in their 25 most recent head-to-head games.
Going with the Philadelphia Eagles (1.18) on the moneyline looks too good to pass up here. In their last five matches, the hosts have bagged five wins to improve their regular season record to 8-0 SU. Odds of 1.18 suggest they have a win probability rate of 85% for this matchup. On the other side, the Washington Commanders are the 5.25 underdogs. Given their record against NFC East teams, this might not be a surprise. After all, the visitors have been on the wrong side of the scoreboard six times in their last eight matchups.
The Philadelphia Eagles (1.18) are expected to win by more than a touchdown on Sunday. The oddsmakers currently have the hosts down as -11.0 point favorites over the Washington Commanders in the Week 10 betting lines. A one-score game anyhow seems to be where the smart money lies, as the last five rounds between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Washington Commanders produced an average winning margin of 9.2 points.
Take the Philadelphia Eagles to cover the spread as it paid off beautifully in their last two home matches, and we wouldn’t be surprised to see them cover it again on Monday. In their previous ten games, the Philadelphia Eagles went 6-4 ATS overall and 4-1 ATS in the last ten games at home.
The Washington Commanders may enter the matchup as the +11.0 point underdogs, but they look capable of keeping things tight at the Lincoln Financial Field. Their defense holds position 19 in the league’s defensive rankings after all, allowing 21.3 points on average this season. In their past 10 matches, the Washington Commanders went 4-5 ATS and also ended up 2-4 ATS from their six most recent road trips.
The last 25 games between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Washington Commanders offered a decent average of 47.32 points on the board.
The average total in the last five encounters between the Philadelphia Eagles and Washington Commanders was 38 points. As the total for their latest showdown is set at 44.0, taking the Under (5.25) might just be worth its weight in gold.
Take a good look at the over when betting on the total, since the past two matches involving the Philadelphia Eagles went over. Meanwhile, betting on the over would’ve paid out as a winning bet in three of the last three games at the Lincoln Financial Field for the Philadelphia Eagles, who are 6-4 in their last ten home and away matches combined.
The total has gone under in six of Washington Commanders’ last seven games. Against the total, the Washington Commanders have gone over in one of the last five road matches and are 3-7 in the last ten overall.