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Atlanta Falcons vs Chicago Bears NFL match analysis, predictions and odds

The Atlanta Falcons (4-6) play the Chicago Bears (3-7) on Sunday, 20 at 13:00 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The Atlanta Falcons are in second place in NFC South after collecting four wins from ten games so far in the regular season, while three wins in ten matches leaves Chicago Bears fourth in the NFC North. Before getting stuck in a rut, the Atlanta Falcons should be highly motivated to claim a win before their defeats turn into a streak. Having lost two on the bounce, they’ll be looking turn things around against the Chicago Bears.

Form Atlanta Falcons

The Atlanta Falcons fell to back-to-back defeats last week when the Carolina Panthers beat them 25-15. The hosts are now 4-6 in their past 10 games overall and 3-2 in the last five at home.

The Atlanta Falcons continue to put up decent numbers in offense, scoring 22.8 points in their last five matches. Considering their season average is 23.2 points, this suggests the offensive unit is consistent. On the other side of the ball, the defense has been relatively average in the league recently. The hosts have given up 25.6 points in the previous five outings, which is more or less on par with the 25.0 points they’ve allowed per game over the course of the regular season.

Unsurprisingly, the Atlanta Falcons are unlikely to make the NFL postseason as things stand. Few people expected the home side to go far, and given their 4-6 regular season record, it seems they had good reason.

Form Chicago Bears

The Chicago Bears were left licking their wounds when the Detroit Lions beat them 30-31 in their last match. They now have a 3-7 record for the season games and are 1-4 in the last five at home.

The Chicago Bears have punched above their weight in offense recently. From averaging 21.7 points for the season, the offense has put a solid 26.2 points on board in the last five matches alone. As for the defense, the visitors have given up 28.2 points across the previous five outings. Considering the defensive unit has only allowed 24.7 points for the season itself, it’s fair to say the defensive unit has not performed to its usual standards of late.

In 2021, the Chicago Bears went 6-11 to end up third in the NFC North and out of playoff contention. They hoped to challenge for an NFL postseason spot this year, but it looks like fans will have to wait a little longer as the visitors are only 3-7 this season so far.


The Chicago Bears bagged a 26-30 win over the Atlanta Falcons in the previous matchup between these two franchises. The encounter took place at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium in September 2020. The Atlanta Falcons have claimed two wins from their past five matchups against the Chicago Bears, leaving them with an overall record of 2-3.

In their past eight head-to-head games, the Atlanta Falcons pulled off 15.38 points on average per game, whereas Chicago Bears managed 23.13 points per match.




Take the Atlanta Falcons (1.58) for the outright win on the moneyline. The oddsmakers rate their chances of success on Sunday at 63%, and given their decent run of form at home, it’s easy to see why. The 4-6 hosts have won three of their last five matches at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium and are 3-2 SU at home this season. On the other side, the Chicago Bears are the clear 2.50 underdogs. Considering they’ve lost four of their last five road trips to NFC South teams, this might not be a surprise.


The oddsmakers are siding with the Atlanta Falcons (1.91) on the spread, but not by much. The hosts open up as -3.0 point favorites over the Chicago Bears for Sunday’s showdown. In the last eight matchups in this series, the average points margin between these two sides was 11.5 points.

Interestedly, the Atlanta Falcons have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games. In their previous ten games, the home side went 6-4 ATS overall and 4-2 ATS in the last ten games at home.

The past five visits to the Mercedes-Benz Stadium have gone rather well for the Chicago Bears though, having bagged three wins by an average winning margin of 15.3 points. The visitors are 3-4 ATS from their seven most recent road trips, as well as 5-5 ATS in their last ten games overall.


There was an average of 38.51 points scored in the previous eight clashes between the Atlanta Falcons and the Chicago Bears.

The average total in the last five encounters between the Atlanta Falcons and Chicago Bears was 42.6 points. As the total for their latest showdown is set at 49.0, taking the Under (1.91) might just be worth its weight in gold.

The total has averaged 48.2 points in the Atlanta Falcons’ ten most recent games, as well as 49.2 points in their last five at home. Looking back on the last five games on home soil for the Atlanta Falcons, the total went over two times. They are 5-5 against the total overall from their previous ten matches.

As for the Chicago Bears, the total has gone over in five of their last six outings. Interestedly, the Chicago Bears have seen the total go over in each of their last nine matchups.

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