New England Patriots vs New York Jets NFL match analysis, predictions and odds
The New England Patriots (5-4) play the New York Jets (6-3) at Gillette Stadium on 20th November in round 11 of NFL. The New England Patriots hold fourth place in the AFC East after winning five of their nine games, while six wins from nine matches leaves the New York Jets second in the division standings. It’s now getting toward that time of the year when every match counts. For the New England Patriots and the New York Jets, a victory here could prove to be a game-changer in their respective campaigns.
Form New England Patriots
The New England Patriots have proven to be a force to be reckoned with at the Gillette Stadium, winning four out of their last five home games. Their most recent outing ended in victory against the Indianapolis Colts, with a final score of 26-3.
In terms of points added, it’s fair to say the New England Patriots have a strong and consistent offense. The unit has put 25.8 points on board in the last five matches after all, while averaging 22.6 points for this season. Surrendering 18.4 points per game leaves the New England Patriots’ defense around the middle of the pack compared to the rest of the league’s defensive units.
For this year, the New England Patriots hope to make the playoffs after going as far as the wild card round last term. Given their 5-4 record in this regular season, it’s fair to say that everything is according to plan for the home side right now.
Form New York Jets
The New York Jets are still in decent shape with a run of five wins in six games lately. Their most recent game here saw them winning 20-17 against the Buffalo Bills.
The New York Jets continue to put up decent numbers in offense, scoring 24.0 points in their last five matches. Considering their season average is 21.8 points, this suggests the offensive unit remains as reliable as ever. A middle-of-the-pack defense is what the New York Jets have to offer ahead of their latest road trip, with 19.6 points allowed across nine matches so far.
The New York Jets have been one of the surprise packages this season. Despite being billed as an unlikely bet in the AFC playoff race, the visitors hold the fifth seed in the AFC Conference in Week 11, leaving them set for an unexpected postseason berth this coming January.
The New England Patriots claimed a strong 17-22 win, when they were last faced with the New York Jets. This encounter took place at the MetLife Stadium. The New England Patriots are on an 11-match home winning streak against the New York Jets at the Gillette Stadium and are 22-3 in the last 25 overall.
In their last 25 head-to-head games, the New England Patriots managed 29.8 points on average per game, while the New York Jets put 15.72 points on board.
Take the New England Patriots (1.52) on the moneyline. The hosts have consistently outperformed the New York Jets in recent years and are currently on a 13-match winning streak in this series. As the 1.52 favorites, the New England Patriots have about a 66% chance of victory again at the Gillette Stadium. The New York Jets will do their utmost to spoil the party, but their 3-22 record in this series has us siding with a home win.
The oddsmakers are siding with the New England Patriots (1.91) on the spread, but not by much. The hosts open up as -3.5 point favorites over the New York Jets for Sunday’s showdown. The last five games between the New England Patriots and New York Jets have produced an average winning margin of 16.4 points, but the oddsmakers misjudged the spread by 12.9 points on average. The current spread is set at 3.5.
The New England Patriots have covered the spread in five of their last six games. However, the hosts have only covered the spread in half of their past six home rounds and are 5-4 ATS in the last ten overall.
The New York Jets, on the other hand, have covered the spread in five of their last six games. Betting on the New York Jets against the spread has been a bit of a gold mine of late. They have covered the spread in five of their past 10 games on the road, and are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 overall.
The total may have passed the 45-point mark, but it didn’t quite go above 50 points, as the last 25 games between the New England Patriots and the New York Jets produced an average of 45.52 points.
The average total in the last five encounters between the New England Patriots and New York Jets was a staggering 47.2 points. As the total for their latest showdown is 39.0, it might be worth siding with the Over (1.91).
The total has averaged 39.8 points in the New England Patriots’ ten most recent games, as well as 39.6 points in their last five at home. Interestedly, the total has gone under in five of the New England Patriots’ past nine matchups against teams from the AFC East.
As for the New York Jets, the average total has been 43.0 points in the away team’s past ten matches and 42.4 points in the last five on the road. Over was a winning bet three times in the past 5 road games for the New York Jets, who are 4-6 against the total in their last 10 home and away games combined.