Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders NFL match analysis, predictions and odds
The Denver Broncos (3-6) play the Las Vegas Raiders (2-7) at Empower Field at Mile High on 20th November in round 11 of NFL. A tally of three wins from nine games leaves the Denver Broncos with a divisional ranking of third in the AFC West, while the Las Vegas Raiders are fourth in the AFC West after collecting two victories out of a possible nine. The Las Vegas Raiders arrive at the Empower Field at Mile High as big outsiders to stop the Denver Broncos. The home side should be able to book this one as a win, considering how highly the oddsmakers favor them.
Form Denver Broncos
A 17-10 loss to the Tennessee Titans last time out extended the Denver Broncos’ miserable run of form in the league, leaving the hosts with five defeats in six games.
The Denver Broncos’ offense has been abysmal all season. It has put up just 14.6 points per game and they saw no improvement in the last five matches, which produced an average of 13.0 points. However, on the defensive side of the ball, there has been no letup whatsoever. The hosts boast one of the stingiest defenses in the entire country, allowing just 16.6 points per game for this season, and have remained formidable in the past five games, having only given up 16.2 points on average.
In 2021, the Denver Broncos went 7-10 to end up fourth in the AFC West and out of playoff contention. They were expected to make a return to NFL postseason this year, but it looks like fans will have to wait a little longer as the hosts are only 3-6 this season so far.
Form Las Vegas Raiders
Form is not looking good for Las Vegas Raiders, who came up short in a 20-25 defeat against Indianapolis Colts last week. It was their third straight defeat. Moreover, they have lost their last five road matches in a row. Their overall record for the last 10 games is 3-7.
The Las Vegas Raiders will bring a middle-of-the-park offense for their latest game on the road, having scored 22.6 points per game this season. On the other side of the ball, the hosts have continued to struggle in defense. In the same number of games, they’ve surrendered 25.2 points and rank 22th in the league for points allowed, having given up 25.1 points this year alone.
Unsurprisingly, the Las Vegas Raiders are unlikely to make the NFL postseason as things stand. Few people expected the away side to go far, and given their 2-7 regular season record, it seems they had good reason.
The total reached 41.5 points in the most recent encounter between these teams in October 2022. The matchup ended in a 32-23 road victory for the Las Vegas Raiders back then. In 14 of the past 25 meetings between the Denver Broncos and the Las Vegas Raiders the total went over 41.5 points.
In their past 25 head-to-head games, the Denver Broncos pulled off 23.52 points on average per game, whereas Las Vegas Raiders managed 22.36 points per match.
Take the Las Vegas Raiders (1.68) for the outright win on the moneyline. The Denver Broncos have struggled to get results against the away team in recent years, and while the home-field advantage is on their side at the Empower Field at Mile High, that may not be enough. On the other side, the Las Vegas Raiders are the clear underdogs at 2.25. The visitors are currently 0-5 SU on the road after losing five of their past five road trips.
The oddsmakers are siding with the Denver Broncos (1.80) on the spread, but not by much. The hosts open up as -2.5 point favorites over the Las Vegas Raiders for Sunday’s showdown. In the last 25 matchups in this series, the average points margin between these two sides was 13.5 points.
Home-field advantage has normally paid off for the Denver Broncos in this series. In their past five encounters with the Las Vegas Raiders at the Empower Field at Mile High, the home side bagged two wins by an average winning margin of 5.5 points. The hosts are also 3-3 ATS in the past ten games at home and 4-6 ATS overall from their previous ten games.
Siding with the Las Vegas Raiders, meanwhile, on the spread seems to be a red flag at the moment, as they’ve failed to cover the spread in their last three matches. Take the Denver Broncos instead. The visitors are 1-5 ATS from their six most recent road trips, as well as 4-6 ATS in their last ten games overall.
The total may have passed the 45-point mark, but it didn’t quite go above 50 points, as the last 25 games between the Denver Broncos and the Las Vegas Raiders produced an average of 45.88 points.
The average total in the last five encounters between the Denver Broncos and Las Vegas Raiders was a staggering 51 points. As the total for their latest showdown is 41.5, it might be worth siding with the Over (1.83).
The last six matches Denver Broncos played at home at the Empower Field at Mile High saw the points total finishing under. Looking back on the last five games on home soil for the Denver Broncos, the total went over zero times. They are 1-9 against the total overall from their previous ten matches.
The total score went under in the last two games Las Vegas Raiders played on the road. Looking back over the last five road games, the total went over two times. Overall, the Las Vegas Raiders are 5-4 in the over/under market from their previous ten outings.