The Houston Texans (1-7-1) welcome the Washington Commanders (5-5) over to the NRG Stadium on Sunday for a Week 11 matchup. Having collected a single win from nine games, the Houston Texans are fourth in the AFC South. The Washington Commanders, meanwhile, are fourth in the NFC East after collecting five victories out of a possible ten. A run of four straight defeats has recently hit a sorry-looking Houston Texans to leave their campaign hanging in the balance. Can they get back on track at the NRG Stadium, or will the Washington Commanders inflict more misery their way? Let’s check it out in this preview.
Form Houston Texans
Home-field advantage has counted very little for the Houston Texans recently, having lost their last three rounds at the Lambeau Field. They also slipped to a 24-16 defeat to the New York Giants last time out, leaving them 2-7-1 in their past 10 games overall.
Things haven’t improved on the offense front for the Houston Texans at all, having put just 15.2 points on board across the last five matches. In all, the offense has averaged 16.6 points for the season. The art of defending isn’t something the Houston Texans excel in either. By allowing 23.0 points per game, their defense has been below average compared to the rest of the league this year.
Unsurprisingly, the Houston Texans are unlikely to make the NFL postseason as things stand. Few people expected the home side to go far, and given their 1-7 regular season record, it seems they had good reason.
Form Washington Commanders
The Washington Commanders got a nice surprise win by beating the Philadelphia Eagles 32-21 last time out. They now have a 5-5 record from their last 10 matches and are 3-2 in the last five on the road.
The Washington Commanders bring an offense that has struggled to click into gear this season, putting up just 19.1 points per game for this season. The defense, on the other hand, has really stepped up against opposing offenses of late. In the past five outings, the visitors have only given up 17.0 points on average. This is better than how they’ve fared over the season, having allowed 21.3 points per game in comparison.
Washington Commanders enter this new NFL season as massive outsiders, and could be in for another year of disappointment. Reaching the play-offs would be a big surprise for a team, which finished the regular season last year with a dismal 7-10 record.
The Houston Texans claimed a strong 21-23 win, when they were last faced with the Washington Commanders. This encounter took place at the FedEx Field. The Houston Texans came away with three wins from their past four matchups against the Washington Commanders, leaving them with an overall record of 3-1.
While the Houston Texans averaged 21.25 points, the Washington Commanders performed an average of 21.25 points in their four most recent head-to-head games.
Take the Houston Texans (2.40) for the outright win on the moneyline. The hosts have had a lot of success against the Washington Commanders in recent years, winning three of their last four matchups. As the 2.40 underdogs, the Houston Texans have about a 42% chance of victory again at the NRG Stadium. The Washington Commanders will do their utmost to spoil the party, but their 1-3 record in this series has us siding with a home win.
The Washington Commanders (1.80) open up as the -3.0 favorites over the Houston Texans, according to the oddsmakers. This suggests a road win is possible, but it won’t be by much. A one-score game anyhow seems to be where the smart money lies, as the last four rounds between the Houston Texans and the Washington Commanders produced an average winning margin of 8.0 points.
It’s been nip and tuck as far as the Houston Texans’ recent home record against the Washington Commanders is concerned. Both teams have a 50% win rate from their past two matchups at the NRG Stadium, with an average points margin of 13.5 points between them. However, the Houston Texans have only covered the spread in half of their past six home rounds and are 5-5 ATS in the last ten overall.
The Washington Commanders, on the other hand, have covered the spread in four of their last five games. In their past 10 matches, the Washington Commanders went 5-4 ATS and also ended up 3-4 ATS from their seven most recent road trips.
The last four head-to-head games between and Houston Texans and the Washington Commanders failed to pass the 45 point mark, averaging 42.5 points in total.
Going for the Over (1.80) might be worth a shot, with the total currently set at 40.5 points, as the total average points from the previous four meetings between the Houston Texans and Washington Commanders was 42.5 points.
The total has averaged 37.3 points in the Houston Texans’ ten most recent games, as well as 37.6 points in their last five at home. Interestedly, the total has gone under in six of the Houston Texans’ past nine matchups against teams from the NFC East.
As for the Washington Commanders, the average total has been 40.4 points in the away team’s past ten matches and 40.6 points in the last five on the road. Looking back over the last five road games, the total went over two times. Overall, the Washington Commanders are 4-6 in the over/under market from their previous ten outings.