Indianapolis Colts vs Philadelphia Eagles NFL match analysis, predictions and odds
The Indianapolis Colts (4-5-1) welcome the Philadelphia Eagles (8-1) over to the Lucas Oil Stadium on Sunday for a Week 11 matchup. The Indianapolis Colts are in second place in AFC South after collecting four wins from ten games so far in the regular season, while eight wins in nine matches leave Philadelphia Eagles first in the NFC East. It’s now getting toward that time of the year when every match counts. For the Indianapolis Colts and the Philadelphia Eagles, a victory here could prove to be a game-changer in their respective campaigns.
Form Indianapolis Colts
The Indianapolis Colts finally put an end to their three-match losing streak last time out by beating the Las Vegas Raiders 25-20. The victory improved their record from the past ten games to 4-5-1. They are also 3-2 in the last five at home.
Scoring clearly isn’t where the Indianapolis Colts’ A-game lies. The offense has only put 15.7 points on board, which is one of the league’s worst points averages. On the other side of the ball, the defense has been relatively average in the league recently. The hosts have given up 21.8 points in the previous five outings, which is more or less on par with the 20.3 points they’ve allowed per game over the course of the regular season.
This year, the Indianapolis Colts had been tipped to go far into the playoffs. However, ten matches into the current regular season, the hosts are only 4-5 and won’t be around when January football gets underway unless, of course, they can turn things around quickly.
Form Philadelphia Eagles
The Philadelphia Eagles hope to get back on track after suffering their first setback of the season last time out, going down 21-32 against the Washington Commanders. Form has looked good otherwise, with four wins in five matches. Their overall record from the past 10 games is 8-2.
The Philadelphia Eagles continue to put up decent numbers in offense, scoring 26.2 points in their last five matches. Considering their season average is 27.3 points, this suggests the offensive unit remains as reliable as ever. A middle-of-the-pack defense is what the Philadelphia Eagles have to offer ahead of their latest road trip, with 18.6 points allowed across nine matches so far.
The Philadelphia Eagles are touted as a potential Super Bowl challenger for this season. While it’s still early days, things are going according to plan so far. The visitors hold the first seed in the NFC Conference, leaving them set for a spot in the January playoffs. Until then, the aim will be to strengthen their position by either maintaining or improving their current seeding.
The total went under 45.0 points in the most recent encounter between these two sides in September 2018. Bragging rights went to the Philadelphia Eagles, who beat the Indianapolis Colts 20-16 to take a road win at the Lincoln Financial Field. Philadelphia Eagles enjoyed a fantastic reading on the Indianapolis Colts recently, having claimed three wins in a row against their upcoming opponent. The overall record from their previous seven games says 5-2 against the Indianapolis Colts.
The Indianapolis Colts tallied 24 points on average per game from their seven most recent head-to-head games against the Philadelphia Eagles. The latter managed an average of 25.86 points in comparison.
Take the Philadelphia Eagles (1.32) for the outright win on the moneyline. The Indianapolis Colts have struggled to get results against the away team in recent years, and while the home-field advantage is on their side at the Lucas Oil Stadium, that may not be enough. The visitors are on a five-match winning streak against the Indianapolis Colts and we’re backing them to continue this trend on Sunday.
The Philadelphia Eagles (1.90) open as the -6.5 point road favorites against the Indianapolis Colts, according to the oddsmakers. This suggests they should win by over one field goal at the very least. In the last seven matchups in this series, the average points margin between these two sides was 11.0 points.
It’s been nip and tuck as far as the Indianapolis Colts’ recent home record against the Philadelphia Eagles is concerned. Both teams have a 50% win rate from their past four matchups at the Lucas Oil Stadium, with an average points margin of 11.3 points between them. The hosts are also 3-3 ATS in the past ten games at home and 4-6 ATS overall from their previous ten games.
On the other side of the field, the Philadelphia Eagles have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games on the road. The visitors are 2-4 ATS from their six most recent road trips, as well as 5-5 ATS in their last ten games overall.
The total may have passed the 45-point mark, but it didn’t quite go above 50 points, as the last seven games between the Indianapolis Colts and the Philadelphia Eagles produced an average of 49.86 points.
Going for the Over (1.80) might be worth a shot, with the total currently set at 45.0 points, as the total average points from the previous five meetings between the Indianapolis Colts and Philadelphia Eagles was 49 points.
The Indianapolis Colts saw four of their previous five games at the Lucas Oil Stadium go under. Meanwhile, on the other side of the market, the total only went over in two of the last five home games for the Indianapolis Colts. They are 2-8 against the total across their last ten games, whether home or away.
The total points score went over in the last three matches for the Philadelphia Eagles. Interestedly, the Philadelphia Eagles have seen the total go over in each of their last nine matchups.