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Minnesota Vikings vs Dallas Cowboys NFL match analysis, predictions and odds

The Minnesota Vikings (8-1) play the Dallas Cowboys (6-3) on Sunday, 20 at 16:25 at US Bank Stadium. The Minnesota Vikings are in first place in NFC North after collecting eight wins from nine games so far in the regular season, while six wins in nine matches leaves Dallas Cowboys third in the NFC East. It wouldn’t have been a surprise to see the Minnesota Vikings as even bigger favorites than the oddsmakers currently have them pinned down. They welcome the Dallas Cowboys after winning their previous eight games, and confidence is sky high going into this next match.

Form Minnesota Vikings

Form-wise, the Minnesota Vikings are looking strong on the back of seven consecutive wins. A 30-33 triumph over the Buffalo Bills last week extended their winning streak, leaving them 8-2 in their last 10 matches overall.

The offense has performed to its usual standards of late, putting up 28.0 points in the last five matches, which is on par with the 25.1 points average the Minnesota Vikings have achieved for this season. On the other side of the ball, the defense has been relatively average in the league recently. The hosts have given up 22.2 points in the previous five outings, which is more or less on par with the 21.2 points they’ve allowed per game over the course of the regular season.

The Minnesota Vikings are touted as a potential Super Bowl challenger for this season. While it’s still early days, things are going according to plan so far. The hosts hold the second seed in the NFC Conference, leaving them set for a spot in the January playoffs. Until then, the aim will be to strengthen their position by either maintaining or improving their current seeding.

Form Dallas Cowboys

The Dallas Cowboys were left licking their wounds when the Green Bay Packers beat them 31-28 in their last match. They now have a 6-3 record for the season games and are 3-2 in the last five at home.

The Dallas Cowboys have punched above their weight in offense recently. From averaging 23.4 points for the season, the offense has put a solid 28.0 points on board in the last five matches alone. A middle-of-the-pack defense, meanwhile, is what the Dallas Cowboys have to offer ahead of their latest road trip, with 18.2 points allowed across nine matches so far.

The Dallas Cowboys have been one of the surprise packages this season. Despite being billed as an unlikely bet in the NFC playoff race, the visitors hold the sixth seed in the NFC Conference in Week 11, leaving them set for an unexpected postseason berth this coming January.


The total went under 47.5 points in the most recent encounter between these two sides in October 2021. Bragging rights went to the Dallas Cowboys, who beat the Minnesota Vikings 16-20 to take a road win at the US Bank Stadium. The Minnesota Vikings came away with two wins from their past five matchups against the Dallas Cowboys, leaving them with an overall record of 2-3.

The Minnesota Vikings tallied 22.4 points on average per game from their 15 most recent head-to-head games against the Dallas Cowboys. The latter managed an average of 19.73 points in comparison.




We’re taking the Minnesota Vikings (2.00) for the outright win on the moneyline. The 4-0 hosts seem to relish going up against NFC East opposition, especially at the US Bank Stadium. They’ve won six of their last six home matchups against NFC East teams. Odds of 2.00 suggests they have a 50% chance of adding another victory to their haul. The visitors are on a two-match winning streak against the Minnesota Vikings and we’re backing them to continue this trend on Sunday.


The Dallas Cowboys (1.83) open as the -1.5 point road favorites over the Minnesota Vikings. Given how closely the oddsmakers have placed the spread, we could be in for a real even-stevens encounter here. In the last 15 matchups in this series, the average points margin between these two sides was 7.9 points.

The Minnesota Vikings struggled to make home-field advantage count against the Dallas Cowboys in their past five matchups, losing by an average losing margin of 3.0 points. The hosts are also 2-3 ATS in the past ten games at home and 4-5 ATS overall from their previous ten games.

The past five visits to the US Bank Stadium have gone rather well for the Dallas Cowboys, having bagged four wins by an average winning margin of 3.8 points. In their past 10 matches, the Dallas Cowboys went 6-4 ATS and also ended up 3-3 ATS from their six most recent road trips.


The average total from the previous 15 matchups between the Minnesota Vikings and the Dallas Cowboys was 42.13 points.

Siding with the Under (1.83) seems a worthwhile bet. The total is set at 47.5, and with the two teams boasting an average points total of 44.2 from their last five matchups, it seems going under is the way to go.

The total has averaged 45.3 points in the Minnesota Vikings’ ten most recent games, as well as 43.4 points in their last five at home. Meanwhile, on the other side of the market, the total only went over in two of the last five home games for the Minnesota Vikings. They are 4-6 against the total across their last ten games, whether home or away.

As for the Dallas Cowboys, the average total has been 42.8 points in the away team’s past ten matches and 44.6 points in the last five on the road. Against the total, the Dallas Cowboys have gone over in two of the last five road matches and are 3-6 in the last ten overall.

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