The New York Giants (7-2) play the Detroit Lions (3-6) on Sunday, 20 at 13:00 at MetLife Stadium. Both teams have played nine games each going into this Week 11 matchup. The New York Giants sit second in the NFC East with seven wins to their account, which is four more than the Detroit Lions, who are third in the NFC North. The Detroit Lions arrive at the MetLife Stadium as big outsiders to stop the New York Giants. The home side should be able to book this one as a win, considering how highly the oddsmakers favor them.
Form New York Giants
The home crowd has had a lot to cheer about at the MetLife Stadium recently. The New York Giants have claimed five wins in six home games straight up, with their last match ending in a 24-16 triumph over the Houston Texans.
The New York Giants continue to put up decent numbers in offense, scoring 22.2 points in their last five matches. Considering their season average is 20.8 points, this suggests the offensive unit is consistent. On the other side of the ball, the defense has been relatively average in the league recently. The hosts have given up 20.4 points in the previous five outings, which is more or less on par with the 19.2 points they’ve allowed per game over the course of the regular season.
2021 was a year of doom and gloom for the New York Giants. A 4-13 record left the home team fourth in the NFC East and out of the playoffs. However, they entered this season billed as an early postseason threat, and judging by their 7-2 start this time around, they’re on target to do just that.
Form Detroit Lions
The Detroit Lions bagged a second straight win last time out by beating the Chicago Bears 31-30. They are now 3-7 in their last 10 matches and 1-4 in the last five on the road.
It’s been a rough few weeks for the visiting offense in terms of points scored. In the last five matches, the Detroit Lions have only put up 15.8 points on average which is way below their season average of 24.3 points. Putting up a good defense has been no walk in the park for the Detroit Lions this season either, with the visitors allowing a poor 29.3 points per game.
Unsurprisingly, the Detroit Lions are unlikely to make the NFL postseason as things stand. Few people expected the away side to go far, and given their 3-6 regular season record, it seems they had good reason.
The total reached 46.0 points in the most recent encounter between these teams in October 2019. The matchup ended in a 31-26 road victory for the Detroit Lions back then. Both teams have failed to claim the upper hand in this series in recent years, having claimed five wins apiece from their previous ten matchups
In their past ten head-to-head games, the New York Giants pulled off 18.7 points on average per game, whereas Detroit Lions managed 20.4 points per match.
Take the New York Giants (1.58) for the outright win on the moneyline. The oddsmakers rate their chances of success on Sunday at 63%, and given their decent run of form at home, it’s easy to see why. The 7-2 hosts have won four of their last five matches at the MetLife Stadium, leaving their home record for the season at 4-1 SU. As for the Detroit Lions, it’s been a tough time. The 3-6 visitors have lost three of their past five games, and with the oddsmakers pricing a road win at 2.50, it seems taking a home win is the way to go.
The oddsmakers are siding with the New York Giants (1.91) on the spread, but not by much. The hosts open up as -3.0 point favorites over the Detroit Lions for Sunday’s showdown. In the last ten matchups in this series, the average points margin between these two sides was 9.9 points.
Having covered the spread in their last three home matches, the New York Giants look like a sound choice to pull it off again at the MetLife Stadium. The New York Giants are specialists in covering the spread and have the stats to prove it. They have covered the spread in four of their past 5 home matches, and are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 overall.
It’s been nip and tuck as far as the Detroit Lions’ recent road record against the New York Giants is concerned. Both teams have a 50% win rate from their past four matchups at the MetLife Stadium, with an average points margin of 12.0 points between them. The visitors are 3-3 ATS from their six most recent road trips, as well as 5-5 ATS in their last ten games overall.
The points total in matches between the New York Giants and Detroit Lions tends to sway to the lower side, as they have averaged 39.1 points in their last ten meetings.
Siding with the Under (1.91) seems a worthwhile bet. The total is set at 46.0, and with the two teams boasting an average points total of 42 from their last five matchups, it seems going under is the way to go.
The last three times the New York Giants were in action, the total went under. Meanwhile, on the other side of the market, the total only went over in two of the last five home games for the New York Giants. They are 3-6 against the total across their last ten games, whether home or away.
The total has gone under in four of the Detroit Lions’ last five games played on the road. Looking back over the last five road games, the total went over one times. Overall, the Detroit Lions are 5-5 in the over/under market from their previous ten outings.