Los Angeles Chargers vs Tennessee Titans NFL match analysis, predictions and odds

The Los Angeles Chargers (7-6) play the Tennessee Titans (7-6) at SoFi Stadium on 18th December in Week 15 of the NFL. The two squads enter the matchup with identical records, having bagged seven wins and six defeats in 13 games apiece. The Los Angeles Chargers proved they’re still worthy of being a Super Bowl contender with a 23-17 win over the Miami Dolphins, and they are favorites (-150) to take another win against Tennessee Titans.

Form Los Angeles Chargers

The Los Angeles Chargers are 7-6 for the season and their latest match against the Miami Dolphins finished 23-17, leaving them 6-4 across their past 10 games and 2-3 in the last five at home.

The Los Angeles Chargers continue to put up decent numbers in offense, managing 22.2 points in their last five matches. Considering their season average is 22.7 points, this suggests the offensive unit is consistent. The art of defending isn’t something the visitors excel in though. By allowing 25.1 points per game, their defense has been below average compared to the rest of the league this year.

The Los Angeles Chargers began the year backed as a threat for the AFC Championship. While it’s still early days, the hosts remain on course to reach this target. They hold the seventh seed in the AFC Conference and will seek to both maintain and improve their seeding as the regular season winds down.

Form Tennessee Titans

A 22-36 defeat last week against Jacksonville Jaguars extended the losing streak of the Tennessee Titans to three matches. It also brought their overall record for the past 10 games down to 6-4.

The Tennessee Titans bring an offense that has struggled to click into gear this season, putting up just 18.5 points per game. A middle-of-the-pack defense is what the Tennessee Titans have to offer ahead of their latest road trip, with 21.2 points allowed in the regular season and 23.6 points given up in the last five matches.

As the reigning AFC South champions, a successful title defense is a priority for the Tennessee Titans right now. By doing so, they’ll seal a playoff spot and a more favorable tie at home. They currently rank first in the division and fourth in the AFC Conference.

H2H

The Tennessee Titans bagged a 23-20 win over the Los Angeles Chargers in the previous matchup between these two franchises. The encounter took place at the Nissan Stadium in October 2019. Victory has gone the Los Angeles Chargers’ way nine times in their past 12 meetings with the Tennessee Titans. The hosts are favorites to add another win to this haul, with the oddsmakers laying a home win at -150. This implies a 60% winning chance for the Los Angeles Chargers.

While the Los Angeles Chargers averaged 28.42 points, the Tennessee Titans performed an average of 18.58 points in their 12 most recent head-to-head games.

Standings

Betting

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Moneyline

Go for the Los Angeles Chargers to win (1.67) as your winning pick for the moneyline.

The Los Angeles Chargers have had a lot of success against the Tennessee Titans in recent years, winning nine of the last 12 matchups in this series. The Tennessee Titans have every reason to be hitting the panic button as three straight defeats is enough to knock out any team. We don’t expect them to get out of this rut at the SoFi Stadium either, which is why we’re siding with the Los Angeles Chargers for this one.

Spread

Betting on the Los Angeles Chargers -2.5 (1.87) is our favorite play for this matchup.

The Week 15 spread indicates that the Los Angeles Chargers are likely to beat the Tennessee Titans, but by no more than three points. In the last 12 matchups in this series, the average points margin between these two sides was 13.7 points.

The Los Angeles Chargers tend to play well at home against the Tennessee Titans. Over the past five games between the two teams at the SoFi Stadium, the home side has won five games by an average margin of 11.2 points. The hosts are also 3-5 ATS in the past eight games at home and 5-5 ATS overall from their previous ten games.

Backing the Tennessee Titans, on the other hand, seems to be a no-go at the moment. The visitors are running high and dry in this betting line after failing to cover the spread in their last three matches. That said, the visitors are still a decent 5-3 ATS from their eight most recent road trips and 7-3 ATS in their last ten games overall.

Total

Taking the Total over 46.5 (1.91) is the smart pick for this showdown.

There was an average of 47 points scored in the previous 12 clashes between the Los Angeles Chargers and the Tennessee Titans.

The Over has hit in six of the past 12 meetings between these two teams, with the current total available at 46.5 points for this Week 15 matchup in the NFL.

As for the Tennessee Titans, the average total has been 38.2 points in the away team’s past ten matches and 38.2 points in the last five on the road. Interestedly, the Tennessee Titans have seen the total go over in each of their last ten matchups.

The total has averaged 47.9 points in the Los Angeles Chargers’ ten most recent games, as well as 48.0 points in their last five at home. Against the total, the Los Angeles Chargers have gone over in their past three home games and are 5-5 in the last ten overall.

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