Chicago Bears vs Buffalo Bills NFL match analysis, predictions and odds
The Chicago Bears (3-11) play the Buffalo Bills (11-3) on Saturday, 24 at 13:00 at Soldier Field. Exactly eight wins lie between the teams ahead of this Week 16 matchup. The Buffalo Bills boast the better record out of the two, winning 11 out of a possible 14 to go first in the AFC East. The Chicago Bears follow up in fourth place in the NFC North, with three wins to their account. There seems to be no end to the misery supporters of the Chicago Bears have endured this season. Form is appalling, with seven defeats on the bounce now, and they look there for the taking when Buffalo Bills rock up at the Soldier Field.
Form Chicago Bears
The Chicago Bears were dealt a tough blow last week when they lost 20-25 to the Philadelphia Eagles. The defeat extended their losing streak to seven games, leaving their overall record for the past 10 games at 1-9.
The Chicago Bears offense has averaged 20.6 points in the last five contests, a statistic that demonstrates an impressive level of consistency given the team’s overall average of 20.7 points per game throughout this season. On the other side of the ball, the home defense ranks in position 30 in the league after giving up 25.6 points this year alone.
Unfortunately, the Chicago Bears are already eliminated from playoff contention. While expectations weren’t high going into this regular season, the 3-11 hosts are already down and out. Locking onto a strong pick in the NFL draft order is the best they can hope for now.
Form Buffalo Bills
Form is really looking good for the Buffalo Bills after claiming a 32-29 win against Miami Dolphins last week. The victory extended their winning streak to five matches, improving their regular season record to 11-3. They are also 5-2 on the road.
A strong offense has been a highlight for the Buffalo Bills this season. The unit ranks fourth in the NFL’s offensive ladder with 27.5 points per game and has put up 27.0 points in the last five matches alone. On the defensive side of the ball, the visitors have the second-best unit in football, allowing just 17.9 points on average and 18.0 points on the road.
Despite winning their division, the Buffalo Bills can’t rest on their laurels just yet. The next step for the AFC East champions is to hold on to first seed in the AFC Conference. This will hand them a bye week for the wild-card round of the playoffs.
The previous matchup between these two franchises ended in a 15-41 win for the Buffalo Bills at the Soldier Field in August 2021. Both teams have failed to claim the upper hand in this series in recent years, having claimed four wins apiece from their previous eight matchups
The Chicago Bears tallied 24.38 points on average per game from their eight most recent head-to-head games against the Buffalo Bills. The latter managed an average of 19.63 points in comparison.
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Take the Buffalo Bills to win (1.22) as they look like a sure thing on the moneyline here.
Backing a home win on the moneyline is a red flag here. The Chicago Bears are on a seven-match losing streak, and we don’t see any light at the end of the tunnel for them either. Tipping Buffalo Bills to win -450 outright on the moneyline is the way to go instead. The visitors are 4-1 on the road for this season and have won four of the last five road trips, while the struggling Chicago Bears are a dismal 0-5 on their own turf.
The Buffalo Bills are favored at -450 on the moneyline, while the Chicago Bears are the clear underdogs for this matchup with odds of +350. On the point spread, the Buffalo Bills are as high as -9.0, with odds available at -110.
Go for the Buffalo Bills -9.0 (1.91) if you’re looking for a safe bet.
The Buffalo Bills are favored by 9 points on this Week 16 betting line, meaning they could win by more than a touchdown when they visit Soldier Field to take on the Chicago Bears this Saturday. The last five contests between the Chicago Bears and the Buffalo Bills have posted an average winning margin of up to 13.8 points.
The Chicago Bears have beaten the spread in four of their last five games. The hosts are also 5-3 ATS in the past eight games at home and 4-6 ATS overall from their previous ten games.
The past five visits to the Soldier Field have gone rather well for the Buffalo Bills, having bagged three wins by an average winning margin of 10.0 points. In their past 10 matches, the Buffalo Bills went 4-6 ATS and also ended up 3-4-1 ATS from their eight most recent road trips.
Take the Total over 41.5 (1.91) for the best over/under bet
Judging by a points average of 44.01 points from the last eight matchups of this series, the total should land somewhere between 40 and 45 points for the latest encounter between the Chicago Bears and Buffalo Bills.
The two squads played five of these eight encounters at the Soldier Field, producing a combined 42.8 points on average to go over the total four times. For this latest matchup on Saturday, the total is currently set at 41.5 points.
Siding with the over paid out on the betting line in seven of the last eight games involving the Chicago Bears. Against the total, the Chicago Bears have gone over in their past three home games and are 8-2 in the last ten overall.
The total score went under in the last seven games Buffalo Bills played on the road. Looking back over the last five road games, the total didn’t go over even once. Overall, the Buffalo Bills are 3-7 in the over/under market from their previous ten outings.