The Cincinnati Bengals (11-4) play the Buffalo Bills (12-3) at Paycor Stadium on 2nd January at 20:30. With 11 wins from 15 games, the Cincinnati Bengals hold first in the AFC North for this Week 17 matchup, while the 12-win visitors Buffalo Bills sit first in the AFC East. As the regular season enters its final 2 weeks, the Cincinnati Bengals and the Buffalo Bills are both set for the playoffs. They continue their quest for home-field advantage in the AFC here, looking to take a crucial victory over a direct rival.
Form Cincinnati Bengals
The Cincinnati Bengals showed off a handsome nine wins in their ten most recent games. Their most recent game here saw them winning 22-18 against the New England Patriots.
Playing at the Paycor Stadium brings out the best in the Cincinnati Bengals. They have the sixth-best home offensive record, averaging 29.0 points per game with home-field advantage and 26.1 points for all 15 of their regular season games. Defensively, the hosts have the ninth-best unit of all 32 teams, allowing just 20.4 points on average and 18.3 points on their own ground.
The Cincinnati Bengals have clinched a playoff berth after winning their division. The AFC North champions now aim to improve their third seed in the AFC Conference going into the final weeks of the regular season.
Form Buffalo Bills
Form is really looking good for the Buffalo Bills after claiming a 13-35 win against Chicago Bears last week. The victory extended their winning streak to six matches, improving their regular season record to 12-3. They are also 6-2 on the road.
The Buffalo Bills rank up in fourth-place in the NFL’s offensive rankings, with 28.0 points per game this season and 25.1 points on the road. The visiting defense looks more than capable of taking on any offense at any place, having allowed just 17.4 points on the road this year to post the third-best away record.
Despite winning their division, the Buffalo Bills can’t rest on their laurels just yet. The next step for the AFC East champions is to hold on to first seed in the AFC Conference. This will hand them a bye week for the wild-card round of the playoffs.
The Buffalo Bills downed the Cincinnati Bengals 21-17 in the previous matchup between these two franchises. The encounter took place at the New Era Field in September 2019. The two sides came away with five wins from their past ten meetings, meaning the upcoming matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and the Buffalo Bills will be something of a tiebreaker in this series in terms of outright wins.
While the Cincinnati Bengals averaged 23.1 points, the Buffalo Bills performed an average of 24.8 points in their ten most recent head-to-head games.
Buffalo Bills at Cincinnati Bengals odds
It’s even-stevens as far as the moneyline is concerned with little separating the two teams. Going for a home win with the Cincinnati Bengals win pays out at +105, while odds of -125 are available if you wish to take the Buffalo Bills instead.
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Moneyline (ML): Buffalo Bills -125 | Cincinnati Bengals +105
Go for the Buffalo Bills to win (1.80) as your winning pick for the moneyline.
Despite the home-field advantage, the Cincinnati Bengals aren’t favored on the moneyline. They are 5-1 SU at the Paycor Stadium in this regular season and 11-4 SU overall. Back Buffalo Bills to upset the Cincinnati Bengals in their own backyard instead. The Buffalo Bills may be on the road, but their hot run of form is just too good to ignore. The visitors are on a six-match winning streak, and we can see them adding another win to their tally on Monday.
Backing the Buffalo Bills (1.80) to win outright on the moneyline looks too good to pass up as they look to lock up home-field advantage in the AFC.
Place your bets on the Buffalo Bills -1.5 (1.91) for this game.
The Buffalo Bills open as the 1.5-point road favorites over the Cincinnati Bengals. Given how closely the oddsmakers have placed the spread, we could be in for a real even-stevens encounter here. In the last ten matchups in this series, the average points margin between these two sides was 8.9 points.
Having covered the spread in their last five home matches, the Cincinnati Bengals look like a sound choice to pull it off again at the Paycor Stadium. The hosts are also 6-2 ATS in the past eight games at home and 9-1 ATS overall from their previous ten games.
The past five visits to the Paycor Stadium have gone rather well for the Buffalo Bills, having bagged three wins by an average winning margin of 10.7 points. The visitors are 4-4-1 ATS from their nine most recent road trips, as well as 4-6 ATS in their last ten games overall.
Take the Total over 49.0 (1.91) for the best over/under bet
The total may have passed the 45-point mark, but it didn’t quite go above 50 points, as the last ten games between the Cincinnati Bengals and the Buffalo Bills produced an average of 47.9 points.
The oddsmakers have set the current total at 49.0 points, 9.8 points higher than the 39.2-point average these two squads saw from their past five contests.
The total has averaged 50.0 points in the Cincinnati Bengals’ ten most recent games, as well as 48.2 points in their last five at home. Looking back on the last five games on home soil for the Cincinnati Bengals, the total went over two times. They are 5-4-1 against the total overall from their previous ten matches.
The total has gone under in eight of the Buffalo Bills’ last nine games played on the road. Looking back over the last five road games, the total went over once. Overall, the Buffalo Bills are 4-6 in the over/under market from their previous ten outings.