Los Angeles Chargers vs Los Angeles Rams NFL match analysis, predictions and odds
The Los Angeles Chargers (9-6) play the Los Angeles Rams (5-10) on Sunday, 1 at 16:25 at SoFi Stadium. With nine wins from 15 games, the Los Angeles Chargers hold second in the AFC West for this Week 17 matchup, while the five-win visitors Los Angeles Rams sit third in the NFC West. The Los Angeles Chargers are expected to come away with a comfortable victory, as the oddsmakers have priced them as the 6.5-point favorite on the spread against the visiting Los Angeles Rams.
Form Los Angeles Chargers
The Los Angeles Chargers outclassed the Indianapolis Colts in a 20-3 victory last time out. This should leave them in a good shape for their latest match at the SoFi Stadium, where they have claimed four wins in their last five games.
The Los Angeles Chargers’ offensive output has had a sharp decline in numbers this season. Last year, the home side managed 27.9 points per game to rank fifth in the league, but has only put up 22.1 points in the current one. The defense, on the other hand, has really stepped up against opposing offenses of late. In the past five outings, the hosts have only given up 17.0 points on average. This is better than how they’ve fared over the season, having allowed 22.9 points per game in comparison.
The Los Angeles Chargers have lived up to their billing as a potential AFC dark horse. The hosts have sealed a postseason berth, holding the sixth seed in the AFC Conference as things stand.
Form Los Angeles Rams
The Los Angeles Rams upset the odds last week to beat the Denver Broncos, winning 51-14 to improve their record over their last 10 games to 3-7. They are also 0-5 in their last five on the road.
The Los Angeles Rams’ offense has been in a slump this season; from ranking seventh in the league last year with 27.0 points per game, it has only put up 18.7 points in the current one. On the other side of the ball, the defense has been relatively average in the league recently. The visitors have given up 21.4 points in the previous five outings, which is more or less on par with the 22.3 points they’ve allowed per game over the course of the regular season.
The Los Angeles Rams will not be making the playoffs this season. While they were expected to struggle, being winless at 5-10 means there is little hope left for them this year. The best they can do now is focus on getting a strong pick in next year’s draft order.
The total reached 40.5 points in the most recent encounter between these teams in August 2022. The matchup ended in a 22-29 road victory for the Los Angeles Rams back then. The Los Angeles Chargers came away with three wins from their past five matchups against the Los Angeles Rams, leaving them with an overall record of 3-2.
In their last nine head-to-head games, the Los Angeles Chargers managed 21.89 points on average per game, while the Los Angeles Rams put 19.67 points on board.
Los Angeles Rams at Los Angeles Chargers odds
The Los Angeles Chargers are favored to take a home win on the moneyline at -300, while the Los Angeles Rams are the +240 underdogs for this matchup. On the point spread, the Los Angeles Chargers are as high as -6.5 with odds of -115.
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Moneyline (ML): Los Angeles Rams +240 | Los Angeles Chargers -300
Go for the Los Angeles Chargers to win (1.33) as your winning pick for the moneyline.
Going with the Los Angeles Chargers on the moneyline looks too good to pass up here. In their last five matches, the hosts have bagged four wins to improve their regular season record to 9-6 SU. Odds of -300 suggest they have a win probability rate of 75% for this matchup. On the other side, the Los Angeles Rams are the +240 underdogs. Given their record against AFC West teams, this might not be a surprise. After all, the visitors have been on the wrong side of the scoreboard seven times in their last 13 matchups.
The Los Angeles Chargers have rallied off three straight wins as they enter Week 17, so it’s no surprise that they are favored over Los Angeles Rams. The Los Angeles Rams have struggled on defense, allowing an average of 22.3 points per game which may justify a spread as high as-6.5
Back the Los Angeles Chargers -6.5 (1.87) for the best chance of a payout.
In the Week 17 NFL betting lines, the Los Angeles Chargers are favored by 6.5 points over the Los Angeles Rams. This leaves the home team as the strong favorite to win this coming Sunday. The nine most recent matchups in this series have seen an average points margin of 7.3 points.
In their most recent games against NFC West opponents, the Los Angeles Chargers went 6-5 ATS. Their offense managed 25.4 points per game in that stretch, while the defense gave up 24.3 points on average. The hosts are also 3-5-1 ATS in the past nine games at home and 5-4-1 ATS overall from their previous ten games.
On the other side of the field, the Los Angeles Rams have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games on the road. In their past 10 matches, the Los Angeles Rams went 4-5-1 ATS and ended up 2-5-1 ATS from their eight most recent road trips.
Taking the Total over 40.5 (1.91) is the smart pick for this showdown.
The last nine head-to-head games saw an average of 41.56 points. Based on this stat alone, the total may end somewhere between 40 and 45 points when the Los Angeles Rams visit the Los Angeles Chargers.
The total for this Week 17 matchup at the SoFi Stadium is 40.5 points, which is under the 43.8-point average seen in their last five meetings between the Los Angeles Chargers and Los Angeles Rams – but not by much either way.
The past four Los Angeles Chargers games didn’t produce as many points as expected, meaning the total went under in each of them. Meanwhile, the last five Los Angeles Chargers home games went over two times, leaving the home side with an overall 3-7 record from their last ten contests in the over/under market.
The last two away matches Los Angeles Rams played saw the points total finishing under. Against the total, the Los Angeles Rams have gone over in one of the last five road matches and are 5-5 in the last ten overall.