New York Giants vs Indianapolis Colts NFL match analysis, predictions and odds
The Indianapolis Colts (4-10-1) take to the road to face the New York Giants (8-6-1) at the MetLife Stadium on Sunday for a Week 17 matchup. With eight wins from 15 games, the New York Giants hold third in the NFC East for this Week 17 matchup, while the four-win visitors Indianapolis Colts sit third in the AFC South. The New York Giants still have a chance to make the playoffs and can take a big step toward locking up a spot by beating the Indianapolis Colts, who have been eliminated from playoff contention.
Form New York Giants
The New York Giants slipped to 8-6-1 for the season last week after falling to a 27-24 defeat against the Minnesota Vikings. They are 4-5-1 across their ten most recent games and 2-2-1 in the past five at home.
The New York Giants have scored 20.7 points per game this season, which is pretty average compared to the other NFL offenses. The defense, meanwhile, has been in poor shape. In its last five games, opponents have averaged 27.0 points against them—a much bigger number than the unit’s 22.6 points season average.
2021 was a year of doom and gloom for the New York Giants. A 4-13 record left the home team fourth in the NFC East and out of the playoffs. However, they entered this season billed as an early postseason threat, and judging by their 8-6-1 start this time around, they’re on target to do just that.
Form Indianapolis Colts
A 3-20 defeat last week against Los Angeles Chargers extended the losing streak of the Indianapolis Colts to five matches. It also brought their overall record for the past 10 games to 2-8.
The Indianapolis Colts’ offense has been in a slump this season; from ranking ninth in the league last year with 26.5 points per game, it has only put up 16.5 points in the current one. The defense has seen a sharp decline from the unit that ranked ninth in the league last year, having given up 23.8 points on average.
The Indianapolis Colts have already been eliminated from playoff contention—a fact that’s all too obvious given that they have lost ten of their 15 regular season games. Getting a strong pick in next year’s NFL draft is the best they can hope for now.
The previous matchup between these two franchises ended in a 28-27 win for the Indianapolis Colts at the Lucas Oil Stadium in December 2018. The New York Giants came away with one win from their past five matchups against the Indianapolis Colts, leaving them with an overall record of 1-4.
In their past six head-to-head games, the New York Giants pulled off 20.83 points on average per game, whereas Indianapolis Colts managed 29.67 points per match.
Indianapolis Colts at New York Giants odds
The New York Giants are favored to take a home win on the moneyline at -225, while the Indianapolis Colts are the +185 underdogs for this matchup. On the point spread, the New York Giants are as high as -5.0 with odds of -110.
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Moneyline (ML): Indianapolis Colts +185 | New York Giants -225
Take the New York Giants to win (1.44) as they look like a sure thing on the moneyline here.
Backing the New York Giants for victory at the MetLife Stadium returns odds of -225 on the moneyline, which implies they have a 69% chance of coming through. The hosts are 8-6-1 for this season and 4-3-1 at home. The Indianapolis Colts have every reason to be hitting the panic button, as five straight defeats are enough to knock out any team. We don’t expect them to get out of this rut at MetLife Stadium.
Sunday’s game against the Minnesota Vikings should be the perfect stage for the New York Giants to get back on track. They may be coming off a loss, but they are still favorites to win with home-field advantage on their side.
Go for the New York Giants -5.0 (1.91) if you’re looking for a safe bet.
In the Week 17 NFL betting lines, the New York Giants are favored by 5 points over the Indianapolis Colts. This leaves the home team as the strong favorite to win this coming Sunday. In the last six matchups in this series, the average points margin between these two sides was 9.2 points.
In their most recent games against AFC South opponents, the New York Giants went 5-6 ATS. Their offense managed 16.6 points per game in that stretch, while the defense gave up 26.3 points on average. In their previous ten games, the New York Giants went 7-3 ATS overall and 6-3 ATS in the last nine games at home.
The past three visits to the MetLife Stadium have gone rather well for the Indianapolis Colts, having bagged three wins by an average winning margin of 9.7 points. In their past 10 matches, the Indianapolis Colts went 4-6 ATS and also ended up 3-6 ATS from their nine most recent road trips.
Taking the Total over 39.0 (1.91) is the smart pick for this showdown.
The New York Giants and Indianapolis Colts’ offenses normally excel when they play each other. In the last six games between these two teams, the average score has been 50.5 points per game.
The average total from the last five encounters between the New York Giants and Indianapolis Colts was 51.2 points, 12.2 points more than the 39.0-point total the oddsmakers have set for Sunday’s matchup at the MetLife Stadium.
In the New York Giants’ previous six matches against AFC South teams at the MetLife Stadium, the score averaged 37.5 points per game and went 1-4-1 against the total. Interestedly, the total has gone under in five of the New York Giants’ past 11 matchups against teams from the AFC South.
The last six times the Indianapolis Colts visited NFC East teams, the score averaged 33.7 points per game and went 0-6 against the total. Over was a winning bet three times in the past five road games for the Indianapolis Colts, who are 5-5 against the total in their last ten home and away games combined.