Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions NFL match analysis, predictions and odds
Week 18 sees the Green Bay Packers (8-8) play host to the Detroit Lions (8-8) at Lambeau Field for a match this Sunday. The two sides enter this Week 18 matchup with identical records, having collected eight wins in 16 games. This run of form has left the Green Bay Packers in third place in the NFC North, and the Detroit Lions second in the NFC North. Expect the gloves to come off in the latest matchup between these two squads. The clock is ticking fast now, with this being their last chance to reach the playoffs.
Form Green Bay Packers
The Green Bay Packers have proven to be a force to be reckoned with at the Lambeau Field, winning four out of their last five home games. Their most recent outing ended in victory against the Minnesota Vikings, with a final score of 41-17.
The Green Bay Packers’ offensive output has had a sharp decline in numbers this season. Last year, the home side managed 25.6 points per game to rank tenth in the league, but has only put up 22.1 points in the current one. The defense, meanwhile, has been just average. In its last five games, opponents have averaged 21.6 points against them—right around the unit’s season average of 21.9 points allowed per game.
This year, the Green Bay Packers had been tipped to go far into the playoffs. However, 16 matches into the current regular season, the hosts are only 8-8 and won’t be around when January football gets underway unless, of course, they can turn things around quickly.
Form Detroit Lions
The Detroit Lions have a knack for beating NFC North teams, having won six of their last seven divisional matchups. Their last match ended 41-10 against the Chicago Bears, leaving them 7-3 in the last ten games.
The Detroit Lions’ offensive line has improved leaps and bounds since posting a mere 19.1 points per game last season, ranking fourth in the NFL with 27.1 points this year. On the other side of the ball, the defense has seen improvement in the league recently. The visitors have given up 20.2 points in the previous five outings, which is less than the 25.7 points they’ve allowed per game over the course of the regular season.
Unsurprisingly, the Detroit Lions are unlikely to make the NFL postseason as things stand. Few people expected the away side to go far, and given their 8-8 regular season record, it seems they had good reason.
The Detroit Lions downed the Green Bay Packers 15-9 in the previous matchup between these two franchises. The encounter took place at the Ford Field in November 2022. In the past five matchups, the Green Bay Packers claimed three wins against the Detroit Lions to go 3-2 in this series.
The Green Bay Packers tallied 22.7 points on average per game from their ten most recent head-to-head games against the Detroit Lions. The latter managed an average of 25.3 points in comparison.
Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers odds
Odds for Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers is Provided by Bet365. For a full list of odds for the match visit Bet365.com
- Moneyline (ML): Detroit Lions (+180) | Green Bay Packers (-220)
- Against the spread (ATS): Detroit Lions +4.5 (-110) | Green Bay Packers -4.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 49.0 (-110) | (-110)
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Take the Green Bay Packers to win (1.45) outright on the moneyline.
The Green Bay Packers are riding a four-game winning streak heading into this Week 18 matchup. The hosts are 8-8 for the season and 5-3 at home. That said, the Detroit Lions are no pushovers. They’re 15-9 in their last 24 encounters with NFC teams and are priced on the moneyline at +180, which suggests they have a 36% chance of victory at the Lambeau Field.
The Green Bay Packers have rallied off four straight wins as they enter Week 18, so it’s no surprise that they are favored over Detroit Lions. The Detroit Lions have struggled on defense, allowing an average of 25.7 points per game which may justify a spread as high as-4.5
Against the Spread
Betting on the Green Bay Packers -4.5 (1.91) is our favorite play for this matchup.
Judging by the 4.5-point spread in the Week 18 betting line, the Green Bay Packers will beat the Detroit Lions, but the gap between the teams won’t be much more than a field goal. In the last ten matchups in this series, the average points margin between these two sides was 9.5 points.
The Green Bay Packers tend to play well at home against the Detroit Lions. Over the past five games between the two teams at the Lambeau Field, the home side has won three games by an average margin of 13.3 points. In terms of covering the spread, the Green Bay Packers have been a safe bet recently. They have covered the spread in their last four outings, going 4-1 ATS in their last five matchups in all.
The Detroit Lions, on the other hand, have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games. The visitors are 5-4 ATS from their nine most recent road trips, as well as 8-2 ATS in their last ten games overall.
Take the Total over 49.0 (1.91) for the best over/under bet
There was an average of 48 points scored in the previous ten clashes between the Green Bay Packers and the Detroit Lions.
The current total on the Week 18 betting line for this matchup is 49.0 points, which is under the 52.2 points average seen in the past five rounds the Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions have played out, but not by much either.
The score averaged 53.8 points and went 4-1 against the total in the most recent NFC North matchups the Green Bay Packers played at the Lambeau Field. Meanwhile, betting on the over would’ve paid out as a winning bet in the last three games at the Lambeau Field for the Green Bay Packers, who are 6-4 in their last ten home and away matches combined.
On average, the Detroit Lions have seen 50.4 points go on board during their past ten matches and 47.4 points in their last five contests on the road. Meanwhile, the over-market paid out in three of the last five games on the road for the Detroit Lions. All in all, they are 6-4 in their last ten games overall.