The Kansas City Chiefs (13-3) take to the road for an AFC West divisional matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (6-10). The game takes place at the Allegiant Stadium this coming Saturday. Exactly seven wins lie between the teams ahead of this Week 18 matchup. The Kansas City Chiefs boast the better record out of the two, winning 13 out of a possible 16 to go first in the AFC West. The Las Vegas Raiders follow up in third place in the AFC West, with six wins to their account. The Kansas City Chiefs’ quest for home-field advantage in the AFC is not quite complete yet, but they can take one big step towards locking it up with a road win over the Las Vegas Raiders here.
Form Las Vegas Raiders
The Las Vegas Raiders are 6-10 for the season and their latest match against the San Francisco 49ers finished 34-37, leaving them 4-6 across their past 10 games and 3-2 in the last five at home.
The Las Vegas Raiders offense has averaged 23.4 points in the last five contests, a statistic that demonstrates an impressive level of consistency given the team’s overall average of 23.9 points per game throughout this season. The art of defending isn’t something the Las Vegas Raiders excel in though. By allowing 24.2 points per game, their defense has been below average compared to the rest of the league this year.
Unfortunately, the Las Vegas Raiders are already eliminated from playoff contention. While expectations weren’t high going into this regular season, the 6-10 hosts are already down and out. Locking onto a strong pick in the NFL draft order is the best they can hope for now.
Form Kansas City Chiefs
Form is strong for the Kansas City Chiefs, who beat Denver Broncos by a 27-24 scoreline last time out, thereby extending their winning streak to four matches. Their overall regular season record is now 13-3 and 6-2 on the road.
Going on the road doesn’t seem to hamper the Kansas City Chiefs. They have the first-best offensive record away from home, averaging 33.0 points on the road and 29.1 points in their 16 regular season games. That said, the defense has seen a sharp decline from the unit that ranked eighth in the league last year, having given up 22.3 points on average.
Despite winning their division, the Kansas City Chiefs can’t rest on their laurels just yet. The next step for the AFC West champions is to hold on to first seed in the AFC Conference. This will hand them a bye week for the wild-card round of the playoffs.
The previous matchup between these two franchises ended in a 30-29 win for the Kansas City Chiefs at the GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in October 2022. This might well be one road trip the Kansas City Chiefs are looking forward to, as the past ten rounds of this series make good reading for the away team. Victory has gone their way nine times, while the Las Vegas Raiders came out on top one time.
One key problem the Kansas City Chiefs have struggled to fix in this series is how their defense has often floundered against the Las Vegas Raiders offense, having allowed 37.2 points on average in the last five matchups alone.
Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders odds
Odds for Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders is Provided by Bet365. For a full list of odds for the match visit Bet365.com
- Moneyline (ML): Kansas City Chiefs (-450) | Las Vegas Raiders (+350)
- Against the spread (ATS): Kansas City Chiefs -9.5 (-110) | Las Vegas Raiders +9.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 53.0 (-110) | (-110)
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Go for the Kansas City Chiefs to win (1.22) as your winning pick for the moneyline.
The Las Vegas Raiders have struggled to get results against the away team in recent years, and while the home-field advantage is on their side at the Allegiant Stadium, that may not be enough. On the other side, the Kansas City Chiefs have won their last four games. Backing the 13-3 visitors to improve their six-win road tally returns -450 odds, implying there is a 82% chance of a payout.
Take the Kansas City Chiefs (-450) on the moneyline as the visitors are (9-1) in their past 10 outings and are on a four-match winning streak against the Las Vegas Raiders, who are currently on a poor (4-6) run.
Against the Spread
Take the Kansas City Chiefs -9.5 (1.91) as they are the best bet.
The Kansas City Chiefs are favored by 9.5 points on this Week 18 betting line, meaning they could win by more than a touchdown when they visit the Allegiant Stadium to take on the Las Vegas Raiders this Saturday. The ten most recent matchups in this series have seen an average points margin of 17.8 points.
The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the spread in five of their last six games at home. In their previous ten games, the Las Vegas Raiders went 5-5 ATS overall and 8-2 ATS in the last ten games at home.
On the other side of the field, the Kansas City Chiefs have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games on the road. The visitors are 3-6 ATS from their nine most recent road trips, as well as 4-6 ATS in their last ten games overall.
Total over 53.0 (1.91) is the right play for this match.
Both teams’ offenses normally thrive when the Las Vegas Raiders play the Kansas City Chiefs. The two sides have averaged a very impressive 54.8 points in their last ten meetings.
The average total from the last five meetings between the Las Vegas Raiders and Kansas City Chiefs was 61.8 points, 8.8 points higher than 53.0—the number set by the oddsmakers for Saturday’s contest at the Allegiant Stadium.
The score averaged 50.8 points and went 3-2 against the total in the most recent AFC West matchups the Las Vegas Raiders played at the Allegiant Stadium. Interestedly, the total has gone under in five of the Las Vegas Raiders’ past 11 matchups against teams from the AFC West.
In the Kansas City Chiefs’ most recent AFC West matchups on the road, the score ended up 5-0 against the total and averaged 57.6 points. Impressively, the total has gone over in no less than four of the last five games on the road for the Kansas City Chiefs. All in all, they are 5-5 in the over/under when looking back on their past 10 games home and away.