New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers NFL match analysis, predictions and odds
The Carolina Panthers (6-10) take to the road for an NFC South divisional matchup against the New Orleans Saints (7-9). The game takes place at the Caesars Superdome on Sunday. Going into this NFC South matchup, the Carolina Panthers sit third in the division with six wins from 16 matches, leaving them one game behind the second-placed New Orleans Saints. The Carolina Panthers arrive at the Caesars Superdome as big outsiders to stop the New Orleans Saints. The home side should be able to book this one as a win, considering how highly the oddsmakers favor them.
Form New Orleans Saints
Form-wise, the New Orleans Saints are looking strong on the back of three consecutive wins. A 10-20 triumph over the Philadelphia Eagles last week extended their winning streak, leaving them 5-5 in their last 10 matches overall.
The New Orleans Saints’ offense is the definition of a middle-of-the-pack NFL offensive line, posting a season average of 20.2 points per game. On the other side of the ball, the defense has struggled to match last season’s fourth-place finish in the defensive rankings, giving up 20.9 points on average in all outings.
Unfortunately, the New Orleans Saints are already eliminated from playoff contention. While expectations weren’t high going into this regular season, the 7-9 hosts are already down and out. Locking onto a strong pick in the NFL draft order is the best they can hope for now.
Form Carolina Panthers
The Carolina Panthers head to the Caesars Superdome on the back of a 30-24 defeat to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers last week, leaving them 5-5 in their past ten games and 1-4 in the last five on the road.
The Carolina Panthers have punched above their weight in offense recently. From averaging 21.1 points for the season, the offense has put a solid 26.0 points on board in the last five matches alone. On the other side of the ball, the visitors bring a middle-of-the-pack defense for their latest road trip, with 22.9 points allowed across 16 matches so far.
The Carolina Panthers will not be making the playoffs this season. While they were expected to struggle, being winless at 6-10 means there is little hope left for them this year. The best they can do now is focus on getting a strong pick in next year’s draft order.
The previous matchup between these two franchises ended in a 22-14 win for the Carolina Panthers at the Bank of America Stadium in September 2022. Victory has gone the New Orleans Saints’ way seven times in their past ten meetings with the Carolina Panthers. The hosts are favorites to add another win to this haul, with the oddsmakers laying a home win at -192. This implies a 66% winning chance for the New Orleans Saints.
The New Orleans Saints tallied 23.2 points on average per game from their ten most recent head-to-head games against the Carolina Panthers. The latter managed an average of 19.8 points in comparison.
Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints odds
Odds for Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints is Provided by Bet365. For a full list of odds for the match visit Bet365.com
- Moneyline (ML): Carolina Panthers (+167) | New Orleans Saints (-192)
- Against the spread (ATS): Carolina Panthers +3.5 (-110) | New Orleans Saints -3.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 41.5 (-110) | (-110)
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Take the New Orleans Saints to win (1.52) as they look like a sure thing on the moneyline here.
The New Orleans Saints are on a brilliant winning streak going into this week’s matchup. The hosts have won their last three games straight up, and they’re 7-9 for the season—4-4 at home. On the other side, the Carolina Panthers are the clear +167 underdogs. Considering they’ve lost four of their last five road trips to NFC South teams, this might not be a surprise.
Both teams need to win this NFC South showdown, and while the Carolina Panthers won the last matchup 22-14 in September 2022, the New Orleans Saints are the clear favorites this time around and look too good to pass up on the moneyline.
Against the Spread
Place your bets on the New Orleans Saints -3.5 (1.91) for this game.
Judging by the 3.5-point spread in the Week 18 betting line, the New Orleans Saints will beat the Carolina Panthers, but the gap between the teams won’t be much more than a field goal. In the last five games between the New Orleans Saints and Carolina Panthers, the average winning margin was 12.8 points.
The New Orleans Saints went 5-6 ATS in their most recent games against NFC South teams. The offense put up 19.4 points per game in that span, while the defense allowed an average of 19.4 points. In their previous ten games, the New Orleans Saints went 5-5 ATS overall and 5-4 ATS in the last nine games at home.
The past 11 games against NFC South opposition saw the Carolina Panthers end up 6-5 ATS. During that span, the offense produced 20.5 points per game and the defense allowed an average of 21.7 points. In their past 10 matches, the Carolina Panthers went 7-3 ATS and ended up 3-6 ATS from their nine most recent road trips.
Total over 41.5 (1.91) is your best bet for this game.
The last ten contests of this series failed to pass the 45-point mark, averaging 43 points in total. This suggests the total may end up anywhere between 40 and 45 points when the New Orleans Saints play host to the Carolina Panthers.
The 41.5 total for this Week 18 matchup between the two teams is 3.9 points more than the average of 37.6-point total they put up across their past five meetings against each other.
The last five times the New Orleans Saints took to the field, the total went under on each occasion. Meanwhile, the last five New Orleans Saints home games went over two times, leaving the home side with an overall 2-8 record from their last ten contests in the over/under market.
In four of the five most recent matches on the road for the Carolina Panthers, the total went over. Impressively, the total has gone over in no less than four of the last five games on the road for the Carolina Panthers. All in all, they are 6-4 in the over/under when looking back on their past 10 games home and away.