In the wild-card round of the NFL playoffs, the Cincinnati Bengals (12-4) will face off against the Baltimore Ravens (10-7) on Sunday. As AFC North champions, the Cincinnati Bengals earned the right to host this matchup as a third seed in the AFC with 12 regular season wins, two more than the sixth-seeded Baltimore Ravens. Fresh from their Super Bowl defeat last season, the Cincinnati Bengals aim to get their latest assault for the Vince Lombardi Trophy off on the right foot by winning their first playoff game. On the other side, a Baltimore Ravens win will propel the visitors into the second round of playoffs, giving them a good chance at going all the way.
Form Cincinnati Bengals
The Cincinnati Bengals have proven to be a force to be reckoned with at the Paycor Stadium, winning their last five home games. They closed their regular season by beating the Baltimore Ravens last week, with a final score of 27-16.
Playing at the Paycor Stadium brings out the best in the Cincinnati Bengals. They have the eighth-best home offensive record, averaging 28.7 points per game with home-field advantage and 26.1 points for all 16 of their regular season games. Defensively, the hosts have the fifth-best unit of all 32 teams, allowing just 20.1 points on average and 18.0 points on their own ground.
The Cincinnati Bengals came within a whisker of Super Bowl glory in the previous football year, but after a 12-4 season the third-seed hosts are not expected to come close again despite going first in AFC North.
Form Baltimore Ravens
The Baltimore Ravens fell to a second consecutive defeat in their regular season finale when the Cincinnati Bengals beat them 27-16. The visitors are now 6-4 in their past ten games overall and 2-3 in the last five on the road.
The Baltimore Ravens will bring a middle-of-the-park offense for their latest game on the road, having scored 20.6 points per game this season. On the defensive side of the ball, the visitors have the third-best unit in football, allowing just 18.5 points on average and 19.6 points on the road.
The Baltimore Ravens begin their postseason run with the sixth seed in the AFC Conference. From 8-9 last year, they went 10-7 during the regular season to end up second in the AFC North.
The Cincinnati Bengals came away with a 27-16 win in their previous encounter with the Baltimore Ravens at the Paycor Stadium on January 2023. In the past five matchups, the Cincinnati Bengals claimed three wins against the Baltimore Ravens to go 3-2 in this series.
In their past ten head-to-head games, the Cincinnati Bengals pulled off 21.7 points on average per game, whereas Baltimore Ravens managed 25.7 points per match.
Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals odds
Odds for Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals is Provided by Bet365. For a full list of odds for the match visit Bet365.com
- Moneyline (ML): Baltimore Ravens (+240) | Cincinnati Bengals (-300)
- Against the spread (ATS): Baltimore Ravens +6.5 (-110) | Cincinnati Bengals -6.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 43.5 (-110) | (-110)
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Take the Cincinnati Bengals to win (1.33) as they look like a sure thing on the moneyline here.
Playing the Cincinnati Bengals at the Paycor Stadium is no mean feat for any team at the moment. The hosts have won six straight on their own field lately, leaving them 6-1 at home and 12-4 for the season. The Baltimore Ravens have had a rough time recently. They’ve lost three of their past five games, and with the oddsmakers pricing a road win at +240, they’re unlikely to improve on their ten-game win tally on Sunday.
Backing the Cincinnati Bengals (-300) to win outright on the moneyline looks too good to pass up. The hosts were strong at the Paycor Stadium last season with a 6-5 record, and have won five of the last five home games.
Against the Spread
Back the Cincinnati Bengals -6.5 (1.91) for the best chance of a payout.
In the NFL betting lines, the Cincinnati Bengals are favored by 6.5 points over the Baltimore Ravens. This leaves the home team as the strong favorite to win this coming Sunday. The last five contests between the Cincinnati Bengals and the Baltimore Ravens have posted an average winning margin of up to 18.4 points.
The Cincinnati Bengals went 8-4 ATS in their most recent games against AFC North teams. The offense put up 19.6 points per game in that span, while the defense allowed an average of 20.7 points. The Cincinnati Bengals are specialists in covering the spread and have the stats to prove it. They have covered the spread in four of their past five home matches and are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 overall.
The past five visits to the Paycor Stadium have seen the Baltimore Ravens end up on the wrong side of the scoreboard three times, with an average losing margin of 14.0 points. The visitors are 7-3 ATS from their ten most recent road trips, as well as 5-5 ATS in their last ten games overall.
Bet the Total over 43.5 (1.91) for this game.
The total may have passed the 45-point mark, but it didn’t quite go above 50 points, as the last ten games between the Cincinnati Bengals and the Baltimore Ravens produced an average of 47.4 points.
In these previous ten matchups, five produced point totals that were higher than expected. Over was the winning pick five times out of ten at the Paycor Stadium. 43.5 points is the current yardstick for Sunday’s matchup.
In their most recent AFC North matchups at the Paycor Stadium, the Cincinnati Bengals averaged 41.5 points per game and went 4-2 against the total. Against the total, the Cincinnati Bengals have gone over in their past three home games and are 5-4-1 in the last ten overall.
In the Baltimore Ravens’ most recent AFC North matchups on the road, the score ended up 3-3 against the total and averaged 38.7 points. Interestedly, the total has gone under in five of the Baltimore Ravens’ last six games.