Minnesota Vikings vs New York Giants NFL match analysis, predictions and odds

The New York Giants (9-7-1) will take their first step on the road as they face the Minnesota Vikings (13-4) in the wild-card round of the NFL playoffs. The matchup takes place at the US Bank Stadium. The New York Giants punched their ticket to the NFC playoffs by taking the sixth seed, setting up a road tie against third-seeded NFC North champions Minnesota Vikings. The Minnesota Vikings face the New York Giants hoping for a win to get off to a good start before things really heat up in their bid for Super Bowl glory. That said, the New York Giants don’t intend to rest on their laurels as they look to reach the next round.

Form Minnesota Vikings

The Minnesota Vikings closed out their regular season by beating the Chicago Bears 13-29 last week. They’ve gone 7-3 in their past ten matches and 4-1 in the last five at home.

Playing at the US Bank Stadium brings out the best in the Minnesota Vikings. They have the seventh-best home offensive record, averaging 27.0 points per game with home-field advantage and 24.9 points for all 17 of their regular season games. The defense, however, has lagged behind compared to most of the league’s defensive lines, allowing 25.1 points per game this year,.

The Minnesota Vikings are back for another crack at the Lombardi Trophy. They survived an unforgiving NFC to take the third seed and won the NFC North after a 13-4 season. With home-field advantage on their side, they hope to start their playoff run with a bang.

Form New York Giants

The New York Giants head to the US Bank Stadium on the back of a 22-16 defeat to the Philadelphia Eagles in their regular-season finale. They’re 3-6-1 in their past ten games and 1-4 in the last five on the road.

The New York Giants will bring a middle-of-the-park offense for their latest game on the road, having scored 21.5 points per game this season. On the other side of the ball, the defense has been relatively average in the league recently. The visitors have given up 23.8 points in the previous five outings, which is more than the 21.8 points they allowed per game over the course of the regular season.

The New York Giants, who missed the playoffs last season after finishing 4-13, rebounded with a 9-7-1 record this year. However, despite their turnaround, most experts don’t think they’ll last long in the postseason.

H2H

The Minnesota Vikings came away with a 27-24 win in their previous encounter with the New York Giants at the US Bank Stadium on December 2022. The Minnesota Vikings have enjoyed the upper hand over the New York Giants from their previous ten matchups. The home side celebrated eight wins to go 8-2 in this series and will look to continue their dominance at the US Bank Stadium.

In their last ten head-to-head games, the Minnesota Vikings managed 26.7 points on average per game, while the New York Giants put 16.9 points on board.

Standings

New York Giants at Minnesota Vikings odds

Odds for New York Giants vs Minnesota Vikings is Provided by Bet365. For a full list of odds for the match visit Bet365.com

  • Moneyline (ML): New York Giants (+145) | Minnesota Vikings (-165)
  • Against the spread (ATS): New York Giants +3.0 (-110) | Minnesota Vikings -3.0 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 48.5 (-110) | (-110)

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Moneyline

We like the Minnesota Vikings to win (1.61) for our moneyline bet as they’re too good to pass up at these odds.

Picking a Minnesota Vikings win returns odds of -165, implying there is a 62% chance of a payout. The 13-4 hosts have won four of their last five matches at the US Bank Stadium, which is why oddsmakers believe they might do well on Sunday – besides a 8-1 SU home record this season. The visitors are also on a four-match losing streak against the New York Giants.

Backing the Minnesota Vikings (-165) to win outright on the moneyline looks too good to pass up. The hosts were strong at the US Bank Stadium last season with a 5-3 record, and have won four of the last five home games.

Against the Spread

Take the Minnesota Vikings -3.0 (1.91) as they are the best bet.

Judging by the 3-point spread in the Week of 16 betting line, the Minnesota Vikings will beat the New York Giants, but the gap between the teams won’t be much more than a field goal. The last five rounds between the Minnesota Vikings and the New York Giants have been rather one-sided, with an average winning margin of up to 16.6 points.

The Minnesota Vikings went 5-7 ATS in their most recent games against NFC East teams. The offense put up 20.9 points per game in that span, while the defense allowed an average of 21.1 points. In their previous ten games, the Minnesota Vikings went 4-5-1 ATS overall and 4-6 ATS in the last ten games at home.

The New York Giants, on the other hand, have covered the spread in six of their last seven games. For covering the spread, the New York Giants have managed to string together a fine record. They have covered the spread in their last four matchups, going 4-1 ATS in their last five matchups in all.

Over/Under

Total over 48.5 (1.91) is the right play for this match.

The last ten contests of this series failed to pass the 45-point mark, averaging 43.6 points in total. This suggests the total may end up anywhere between 40 and 45 points when the Minnesota Vikings play host to the New York Giants.

Over was the right bet three times out of eight at the US Bank Stadium. Overall, the total went higher than expected in four of the last ten games. For Sunday’s matchup, 48.5 is the current line in the over/under market.

In the Minnesota Vikings’ previous 64 matches against NFC East teams at the US Bank Stadium, the score averaged 40.5 points per game and went 3-3 against the total. The total has gone over in no less than four of the last five home games for the Minnesota Vikings. All in all, they are 7-3 in the over-and-under market when looking back on their past 10 home and away matches.

The last 65 times the New York Giants visited NFC North teams, the score averaged 44.3 points per game and went 4-2 against the total. Also worth mentioning is the fact that exactly half the previous 10 road games for the New York Giants went over. All in all, they are 5-5 in the over-and-under market from their last 10 games overall.

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