Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Dallas Cowboys NFL match analysis, predictions and odds
The Dallas Cowboys (12-5) head to the Raymond James Stadium to face off against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-9) in an NFL wild-card round game this coming Monday. The Dallas Cowboys punched their ticket to the NFC playoffs by taking the fifth seed, setting up a road tie against fourth-seeded NFC South champions Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Even though the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 3-point underdogs, they won the last matchup of this series 3-19 and will be confident of doing so again. The Dallas Cowboys were eliminated from the playoffs last year at this stage. The visitors hope to avoid a repeat this time around when they take to the road for their postseason opener.
Form Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers ended the regular season with an 8-9 record after falling to a 30-17 defeat against the Atlanta Falcons. They are 5-5 across their ten most recent games and 4-1 in the past five at home.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ offensive output has had a sharp decline in numbers this season. Last year, the home side managed 29.9 points per game to rank second in the league, but has only put up 18.4 points in the current one. Surrendering 21.1 points per game, meanwhile, leaves the Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ defense around the middle of the pack compared to the rest of the league’s defensive units.
After last year’s disappointing exit in the divisional playoffs, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are back. The hosts, who went 8-9 to finish first in the NFC East, hope to prove themselves as potential Super Bowl contender.
Form Dallas Cowboys
The Dallas Cowboys were left licking their wounds when the Washington Commanders beat them 26-6 in their regular-season finale. They now have a 12-5 record and are 2-3 in the last five on the road.
Going on the road doesn’t seem to hamper the Dallas Cowboys. They have the third-best offensive record away from home, averaging 24.6 points on the road and 27.5 points in their 17 regular season games. On the defensive side of the ball, the visitors have the sixth-best unit in football, allowing just 20.1 points on average and 20.6 points on the road.
The Dallas Cowboys earned the right to be in the playoffs after a 12-5 season. The visitors finished second in the NFC East and took the fifth seed in the NFC Conference, which could make them dangerous come postseason time.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Dallas Cowboys 3-19 in their previous matchup at the AT&T Stadium on September 2022. In the past five matchups, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers claimed three wins against the Dallas Cowboys to go 3-2 in this series.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers managed an average of 17.2 points a game in their ten most recent outings against the Dallas Cowboys, who averaged 20 points.
Dallas Cowboys at Tampa Bay Buccaneers odds
Odds for Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers is Provided by Bet365. For a full list of odds for the match visit Bet365.com
- Moneyline (ML): Dallas Cowboys (-150) | Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+130)
- Against the spread (ATS): Dallas Cowboys -3.0 (+100) | Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3.0 (-120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (-110) | (-110)
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You should take the Dallas Cowboys to win (1.67) as they look too good to pass up on the moneyline.
Despite their home-field advantage, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers aren’t favored on the moneyline for this matchup. They are 5-4 SU at the Raymond James Stadium and 8-9 SU for the season itself. Instead, the Dallas Cowboys are favored on the moneyline. A road win is priced at -150, which implies the visitors have a 60% chance of taking the victory and improving their 12-5 record.
It’s fair to say the Dallas Cowboys losing back-to-back to the Washington Commanders and Tennessee Titans took a lot of us by surprise, as they should’ve done better. However, given how strongly they’re backed on the moneyline, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers could be the perfect opponent for the Dallas Cowboys to get back on track with a road win
Against the Spread
Place your bets on the Dallas Cowboys -3.0 (2.00) for this game.
The Dallas Cowboys open up as the 3-point favorites over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, according to the oddsmakers. This suggests a road win is possible, but it won’t be by much. The last five contests of this series drew an average winning margin of 6.6 points, which is only 3.6 points higher than the current 3-point spread.
Going against the spread with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers hasn’t been a smart move of late, with the team failing to cover in six of the previous seven games. In their previous ten games, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers went 2-7-1 ATS overall and 2-7-1 ATS in the last ten games at home.
The most recent games against NFC South opposition saw the Dallas Cowboys end up 9-3 ATS. During that span, the offense produced 22.4 points per game and the defense allowed an average of 21.0 points. In their past 10 matches, the Dallas Cowboys went 4-5-1 ATS and ended up 4-5-1 ATS from their ten most recent road trips.
Bet the Total over 45.5 (1.91) for this game.
The points total in matches between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Dallas Cowboys tends to sway to the lower side, as they have averaged 37.2 points in their last ten meetings.
The total for this game is set at 45.5, a number that is 4.1 points higher than the average of 41.4 points total the two teams have managed in their last five NFL meetings.
When betting on the total in Tampa Bay Buccaneers games, consider that each of their last two matches went over. The total went over in five of the past ten home games for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. They are 5-5 in the over/under betting line from their last ten contests in all.
As for the Dallas Cowboys, the average total has been 57.1 points in the away team’s past ten matches and 49.6 points in the last five on the road. The under market has paid out as the winning bet in each of the Dallas Cowboys’ last ten games.