Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals NFL match analysis, predictions and odds
The Highmark Stadium will host an AFC divisional playoff game between the Buffalo Bills and the Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday. The second-seeded Buffalo Bills defeated the Miami Dolphins 34-31 in their Wild Card game, while the third-ranked Cincinnati Bengals beat the Baltimore Ravens by a score of 24-17. After reaching the second playoff game, the Buffalo Bills look to make a run at the AFC Championship Game and beyond. For the Cincinnati Bengals, everything is going according to the script. Last season’s Super Bowl finalists have made it to the second playoff match and hope a road win sets them up for a glorious postseason run.
Form Buffalo Bills
The Buffalo Bills punched a ticket to the divisional round after beating the Miami Dolphins 34-31 in their wild-card game. They are 8-2 in their last 10 matches and 5-0 in the past five at home.
There has been no letup from the ever-impressive home offense, having put up 31.2 points on average across the last five matches. This leaves the Buffalo Bills with a regular season average of 28.8 points. Visiting offenses normally struggle to break down the hosts’ defense, which has the second-best defensive record at home, having only allowed 19.8 points on their own turf and 18.6 points in all outings.
One year ago, the Buffalo Bills had a heartbreaking loss in the divisional playoffs. This season, they were determined to make it further in the playoffs and are on course to do so. The hosts have enjoyed an 14-3 season and can make the AFC Championship Game with a win in this round.
Form Cincinnati Bengals
A 24-17 wild-card win over the Baltimore Ravens made it nine straight victories for the Cincinnati Bengals. They head to the Highmark Stadium with a 6-3 road record for this season.
Going on the road doesn’t seem to hamper the Cincinnati Bengals. They have the eighth-best offensive record away from home, averaging 24.1 points on the road and 26.0 points in their 17 regular season games. The visiting defense looks more than capable of taking on any offense at any place, having allowed just 21.8 points on the road this year to post the fifth-best away record.
Like last year, the Cincinnati Bengals made the playoffs by winning the AFC North title with a 13-4 record in all games. However, as the lower seed for this matchup, they will be on the road this second postseason match, with the prize being a ticket to the AFC Championship Game.
The Buffalo Bills won 21-17 against the Cincinnati Bengals in their most recent encounter at the New Era Field on september 2019. The two sides came away with five wins from their past ten meetings, meaning the upcoming matchup between the Buffalo Bills and the Cincinnati Bengals will be something of a tiebreaker in this series in terms of outright wins.
While the Buffalo Bills averaged 24.8 points, the Cincinnati Bengals performed an average of 23.1 points in their ten most recent head-to-head games.
Cincinnati Bengals at Buffalo Bills odds
Odds for Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills is Provided by Bet365. For a full list of odds for the match visit Bet365.com
- Moneyline (ML): Cincinnati Bengals (+205) | Buffalo Bills (-245)
- Against the spread (ATS): Cincinnati Bengals +5.5 (-110) | Buffalo Bills -5.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 48.0 (-110) | (-110)
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You should take the Buffalo Bills to win (1.41) as they look too good to pass up on the moneyline.
The Buffalo Bills are riding an eight-game winning streak heading into this divisional playoff. The hosts are 14-3 for the season and 8-1 at home. That said, the Cincinnati Bengals are no pushovers. They’ve won their last four on the road and are priced on the moneyline at +205, which suggests they have a 33% chance of victory at the Highmark Stadium.
Backing the Buffalo Bills (-245) to win outright on the moneyline looks too good to pass up. The hosts were strong at the Highmark Stadium last season with a 7-3 record, and have won their last five home games.
Against the Spread
Go for the Cincinnati Bengals to win (3.05) if you’re looking for a safe bet.
The Buffalo Bills are the 5.5-point favorites over the Cincinnati Bengals in the NFL betting lines. This leaves the hosts favored to take the win by around a touchdown on Sunday. In the last ten matchups in this series, the average points margin between these two sides was 8.9 points.
The Buffalo Bills went 7-6-1 ATS in their most recent games against AFC North teams. The offense put up 20.6 points per game in that span, while the defense allowed an average of 21.2 points. In their previous ten games, the Buffalo Bills went 4-6 ATS overall and 5-5 ATS in the last ten games at home.
The Cincinnati Bengals, on the other hand, have covered the spread in the last four matches they played on the road. In their past 10 matches, the Cincinnati Bengals went 7-3 ATS and ended up 7-3 ATS from their ten most recent road trips.
Taking the Total over 48.0 (1.91) is the smart pick for this showdown.
The last ten games between the Buffalo Bills and the Cincinnati Bengals offered a decent average of 47.9 points on the board.
The two squads have averaged 39.2 points over their past five meetings in the NFL, which is 8.8 points less than the 48.0-point total that oddsmakers have set for Sunday’s matchup at the Highmark Stadium.
When betting on the total in Buffalo Bills games, consider that each of their last four matches went over. The total has gone over in no less than four of the last five home games for the Buffalo Bills. All in all, they are 6-4 in the over-and-under market when looking back on their past 10 home and away matches.
On average, the Cincinnati Bengals have seen 47.6 points go on board during their past ten matches and 49.0 points in their last five contests on the road. The total has gone under in four of their past five matchups against AFC East teams.