San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys NFL match analysis, predictions and odds
The San Francisco 49ers will play host to the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday at the Levi’s Stadium for an NFC divisional playoff game. Both teams won their Wild Card games easily, but oddsmakers expect a closer battle this weekend: they’ve installed the San Francisco 49ers as 3.5-point home favorites in the NFL betting lines. A home victory on Sunday will see the San Francisco 49ers reach the NFC Championship Game for the second time in as many years. At this point, we no longer see the Dallas Cowboys as a long shot. They’re exceeding expectations and a road win here would probably make them a legitimate postseason contender.
Form San Francisco 49ers
The San Francisco 49ers enter the divisional round of the playoffs riding a 11-game winning streak. They beat the Seattle Seahawks 41-23 in their wild-card game. The victory left the home side 9-1 at the Levi’s Stadium for this season.
Playing at the Levi’s Stadium brings out the best in the San Francisco 49ers. They have the sixth-best home offensive record, averaging 29.3 points per game with home-field advantage and 27.3 points for all 18 of their regular season games. Defensively, the hosts have the best unit of all 32 teams, allowing just 16.7 points on average and 15.6 points on their own ground.
The San Francisco 49ers had an excellent regular season, culminating in their victory in the NFC West. They took the second seed in the NFC Conference and are 14-4 for the season. With home-field advantage on their side, the hosts look to continue their bid for the Super Bowl.
Form Dallas Cowboys
The Dallas Cowboys made a statement of intent by pummeling the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14-31 in their first playoff game, improving to 7-3 for their past 10 games. They are 5-4 on the road this season.
The Dallas Cowboys rank up in third-place in the NFL’s offensive rankings, with 27.7 points per game this season and 25.3 points on the road. On the defensive side of the ball, the visitors have the sixth-best unit in football, allowing just 19.8 points on average and 19.9 points on the road.
The Dallas Cowboys have already done better this season than they did last year, when they lost in the wild-card round of the playoffs. The away side clinched the fifth seed in the NFC Conference and came second in the NFC East.
The San Francisco 49ers came away with a 17-23 win in their previous encounter with the Dallas Cowboys at the AT&T Stadium on January 2022. The San Francisco 49ers came away with three wins from their past five matchups against the Dallas Cowboys, leaving them with an overall record of 3-2.
While the San Francisco 49ers averaged 21.9 points, the Dallas Cowboys performed an average of 21.5 points in their ten most recent head-to-head games.
Dallas Cowboys at San Francisco 49ers odds
Odds for Dallas Cowboys vs San Francisco 49ers is Provided by Bet365. For a full list of odds for the match visit Bet365.com
- Moneyline (ML): Dallas Cowboys (+165) | San Francisco 49ers (-185)
- Against the spread (ATS): Dallas Cowboys +3.5 (-110) | San Francisco 49ers -3.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 46.5 (-110) | (-110)
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Take the San Francisco 49ers to win (1.54) as they look like a sure thing on the moneyline here.
Playing the San Francisco 49ers at the Levi’s Stadium is no mean feat for any team at the moment. The hosts have won seven straight on their own field lately, leaving them 9-1 at home and 14-4 for the season. Meanwhile, the Dallas Cowboys are going strong on the road. The visitors have bagged three wins in their past five trips to go 5-4 on the road this season, and are the value bet.
Take the San Francisco 49ers (-185) to win outright on the moneyline for the upcoming match at the Levi’s Stadium. They look the better pick of the two sides, having gone 5-0 in the last five matches.
Against the Spread
Back the San Francisco 49ers -3.5 (1.91) for the best chance of a payout.
Oddsmakers favor the San Francisco 49ers to win Sunday’s game, but not by much. The hosts open up as 3.5-point favorites over the Dallas Cowboys. In the last ten matchups in this series, the average points margin between these two sides was 10.0 points.
The San Francisco 49ers have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games. The San Francisco 49ers are specialists in covering the spread and have the stats to prove it. They have covered the spread in their past five home matches and are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 overall.
In recent matchups against NFC West opposition, the Dallas Cowboys went 9-3 ATS. During that span, the offense produced 22.4 points per game, and the defense allowed an average of 21.0 points. In their past 10 matches, the Dallas Cowboys went 4-5 ATS and ended up 5-4 ATS from their ten most recent road trips.
Total over 46.5 (1.91) is the right play for this match.
The last ten head-to-head games saw an average of 43.4 points. Based on this stat alone, the total may end somewhere between 40 and 45 points when the Dallas Cowboys visit the San Francisco 49ers.
The current total on the NFL betting line for this matchup is 46.5 points, which is under the 47 points average seen in the past five rounds the San Francisco 49ers and Dallas Cowboys have played out, but not by much either.
The past four San Francisco 49ers games had more points than expected, as the total went over in each of them. The total went over in all of the last five home games for the San Francisco 49ers. All in all, they are 7-3 in the over-and-under market when looking back on their past 10 home and away matches.
On average, the Dallas Cowboys have seen 53.8 points go on board during their past ten matches and 46.8 points in their last five contests on the road. Going on the road doesn’t always seem to produce the expected number of points for the Dallas Cowboys, as the total has gone under in three of the past five matchups away from home.