Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs NFL match analysis, predictions and odds
The Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs will face off in the Super Bowl at State Farm Stadium on Sunday, February 12. The Philadelphia Eagles earned a spot in the Super Bowl by beating the San Francisco 49ers 31-7 in the NFC Championship Game, while the Kansas City Chiefs won the AFC Championship Game against the Cincinnati Bengals 23-20. The Kansas City Chiefs can take heart from their three straight wins in the series, yet the Philadelphia Eagles are the ones that come into the game with a 1.5-point advantage on the spread.
Form Philadelphia Eagles
The Philadelphia Eagles sealed their spot in the Super Bowl with a dominant performance. They convincingly won the NFC Championship Game against the San Francisco 49ers by a score of 31-7. This result boosted their record to 8-2 in their last 10 matchups.
The Philadelphia Eagles have scored an impressive 28.7 points per game this season in their 19 games, making them one of the top-scoring teams in the league. The defense of the home team has been incredibly resilient, having only allowed 18.8 points per game this season. Their dominance has stayed consistent in the past five games, with an average of just 18.0 points surrendered.
The Philadelphia Eagles are now just one step away from lifting the ultimate prize in football: the Lombardi Trophy. Time and time again, they proved themselves and hope to do so one last time in Arizona. If the Philadelphia Eagles can pull it off, the Super Bowl will be theirs, and franchise history will have been made.
Form Kansas City Chiefs
In the AFC Championship Game, the Kansas City Chiefs came out on top in a 23-20 contest with the Cincinnati Bengals. The win extended their winning streak to three games. They now head to the Super Bowl with a 9-1 record for their last 10 matches.
The away offense has been stellar on the road, averaging 32.8 points on the road and 28.7 points in all 19 of their games. Defensively, the Kansas City Chiefs have been excellent against opposing offenses. They’ve allowed an average of 17.4 points in their last five games and 21.5 points per game over the course of the season.
The Kansas City Chiefs took the AFC’s top seed and the AFC West title. They used the first-round bye and home-field advantage in the playoffs to full effect, sweeping their way to the Super Bowl. Now, with one more game standing between them and franchise history, they’ll look to get the job done in Arizona.
The previous matchup between these two franchises ended in a 30-42 win for the Kansas City Chiefs at the Lincoln Financial Field in October 2021. Based on the last seven matchups between these teams, the Super Bowl could go either way. The Kansas City Chiefs claimed four wins straight up, but lost the other three games to the Philadelphia Eagles.
The Philadelphia Eagles scored an average of 25.8 points across these last seven matchups, while the Kansas City Chiefs scored an average of 24.9 points.
Kansas City Chiefs at Philadelphia Eagles odds
Odds for Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles is Provided by Bet365. For a full list of odds for the match visit Bet365.com
- Moneyline (ML): Kansas City Chiefs (+105) | Philadelphia Eagles (-125)
- Against the spread (ATS): Kansas City Chiefs +1.5 (-110) | Philadelphia Eagles -1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 50.5 (-110) | (-110)
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Take the Kansas City Chiefs to win (2.05) outright on the moneyline.
The Philadelphia Eagles are on an impressive run of form leading up to the Super Bowl. They have not tasted defeat in their previous three matches, maintaining a 16-3 win-loss record. With odds of -125, it is estimated that they have a 56% chance of emerging victorious. The Kansas City Chiefs have won their last seven games and are riding a three-game winning streak against their latest opponents. A wager on the 16-3 road team would provide +105 odds, implying a 49% chance of a return.
The Philadelphia Eagles are the slight favorites, but the Kansas City Chiefs look like the better moneyline pick. They have been victorious in the last three meetings between the two teams and are on a seven-game winning streak. Bet on the Kansas City Chiefs to win, with odds of +105.
Against the Spread
Bet on the Kansas City Chiefs to win (2.05) for this game.
It seems that the Philadelphia Eagles and the Kansas City Chiefs are set to be evenly matched, given the 1.5-point spread that the oddsmakers have set. In the last seven matchups in this series, the average points margin between these two sides was 10.1 points.
The Philadelphia Eagles went 6-7 ATS in their most recent games against AFC West teams. The offense put up 22.9 points per game in that span, while the defense allowed an average of 19.8 points. In terms of covering the spread, the Philadelphia Eagles have been a safe bet recently. They have covered the spread in their last two outings, going 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games.
On the other side of the field, the Kansas City Chiefs have covered the spread in their last three matchups against the Philadelphia Eagles. More recently, the Kansas City Chiefs went 4-6 ATS in their past 10 games.
Taking the Total under 50.5 (1.91) is the smart pick for this showdown.
The total score may have surpassed 45 points, but it did not reach 50 points as the last seven meetings between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Kansas City Chiefs yielded an average of 49.57 points.
The Super Bowl total has been set at 50.5, which is 1.3 points more than the average of 49.2 points that the two teams have put up in their last five NFL matchups.
The Philadelphia Eagles’ last four games had fewer points scored than expected, resulting in each game going under the total. In all, the total has gone under in six of the Philadelphia Eagles’ past 10 games.
The Kansas City Chiefs have seen an average total of 50.3 points per game this season. Four of their last five matches went under. The Kansas City Chiefs have had a successful bet on the over in three of their past five road games, but are only 4-6 against the total in their last ten overall.