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Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Prediction

The Indiana Pacers (25-30) take to the road to face the Miami Heat (29-25) on Wednesday at the Miami-Dade Arena. The Miami Heat enter the game seeded sixth in the Eastern Conference, four spots ahead of the tenth-placed Indiana Pacers. In a match between two playoff contenders, the Indiana Pacers hope to snag a vital victory to edge closer to a direct postseason berth. The Miami Heat, though, have their own agenda and won’t make it easy. This is sure to be an exciting battle.

Form Miami Heat

The Miami Heat were dealt a tough blow when they lost 123-115 to the Milwaukee Bucks in their last match. The defeat left them with a two-game losing streak and an overall record for the past 10 games of 5-5.

The Miami Heat are the worst team offensively in this year’s NBA, averaging 108.5 points in all games. Defensively, the home defense is one of the best in shutting out opponents, ranking second in the league with 108.4 points conceded per game.

After a disappointing loss in the Conference Finals last year, the Miami Heat look set for another playoff run. They find themselves as the sixth seed in the Eastern Conference. The hosts have enjoyed a 29-25 season and rank first in the Southeast Division after 54 games.

The Miami Heat have 6 players injured for the upcoming match in Kyle Lowry, Victor Oladipo, Dewayne Dedmon, Duncan Robinson, Omer Yurtseven, and Nikola Jovic.

Form Indiana Pacers

Form looks bleak for the Indiana Pacers after a 103-122 defeat against the Cleveland Cavaliers last time out. Adding to that, they have lost their previous nine road games and are 2-8 in the last 10 games overall.

The Indiana Pacers average 114.7 points per contest, putting them near the middle of the pack among NBA teams for most points. On the defensive end of the floor, the away team has given up 118.2 points in the last five outings and 116.9 points on average for the season.

Last year, the Indiana Pacers failed to qualify for the playoffs after a 25-57 regular season. They ended up 13th in the Eastern Conference and fourth in the Central Division. However, with a 25-30 record this season, they hold the Eastern Conference’s tenth seed, leaving them set for the Play-In Tournament.

Chris Duarte is the only reported injury concern for the Indiana Pacers ahead of Wednesday’s game.


The Indiana Pacers downed the Miami Heat 108-111 in their previous matchup. The encounter took place at the FTX Arena in December 2022. The two sides came away with five wins from their past ten meetings, meaning the upcoming matchup between the Miami Heat and the Indiana Pacers will be something of a tiebreaker in this series in terms of outright wins.

While the Miami Heat averaged 103 points, the Indiana Pacers performed an average of 101.6 points in their ten most recent head-to-head games.



Odds for Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat is Provided by Bet365. For a full list of odds for the match visit Bet365.com

  • Moneyline (ML): Indiana Pacers (+230) | Miami Heat (-280)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Indiana Pacers +7.0 (-110) | Miami Heat -7.0 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 223.5 (-110) | (-110)

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Go for the Miami Heat to win (1.36) on the moneyline.

The Miami Heat look to break their two-game road losing skid by getting back to winning at home. With their last six matches at Miami-Dade Arena all resulting in victories, the hosts have been given -280 moneyline odds, which implies a 74% chance of a home victory. The Indiana Pacers are not favored to come out on top with +230 moneyline odds set for a road win. They have been inconsistent away from home lately, dropping nine of their last ten road games. Their most recent game resulted in a 103-122 defeat by the Cleveland Cavaliers.

The Miami Heat will hope to make a statement by bouncing back from their previous defeat to the Milwaukee Bucks in Wednesday’s game. They are the moneyline favorites and look like the better pick.

Against the Spread

Take the Miami Heat -7.0 (1.91) to cover the spread.

The Miami Heat are the 7-point favorites over the Indiana Pacers in the NBA betting lines, leaving them as the clear match favorites. The average points difference between the teams was 10.6 points from their last ten matchups.

The Miami Heat have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games. Their record for the season is 20-30-3 ATS. The hosts have a 5-4-1 record from their last ten games at the Miami-Dade Arena, going 3-7 ATS in their last ten games overall.

On the other end of the floor, the Indiana Pacers have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine road games. They are 29-26 ATS for the season. The visitors are 2-8 ATS from their ten most recent road trips, as well as 3-7 ATS in their last ten games overall.


Total under 223.5 (1.91) is our pick on the total.

Matchups between the Miami Heat and the Indiana Pacers rarely put a lot of points on board. The past ten games produced a total of 204.6 points between these teams, and 217.6 points in the last five at Miami-Dade Arena.

The total line is set at 223.5. The Miami Heat and the Indiana Pacers’ combined points total has not exceeded this 223.5 line nine times in their last ten matchups. Betting Under on the Total market returns odds of -110.

This season, the Miami Heat have seen an average total of 216.2 points at Miami-Dade Arena. Their last five home games went under. In the last five home matches for the Miami Heat at the Miami-Dade Arena, the number of points scored was less than anticipated. The total went under in each game.

Meanwhile, the Indiana Pacers have seen an average of 230.8 points in their past five road games and 231.1 points in their last five contests in all. Exactly half of the previous 10 road games for the Indiana Pacers went over. They are 3-7 against the total in their last 10 home and away games combined.

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