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Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction

Tuesday sees the Miami Heat (44-38) and the Atlanta Hawks (41-41) meet in a seventh-seed play-in game at the Kaseya Center. Entering the game with the Eastern Conference’s seventh seed, the Miami Heat face an Atlanta Hawks side that finished just behind them in eighth. After triumphing in their most recent game, the Miami Heat are now hoping to secure another victory. The odds of success are in their favor, and with the supportive hometown supporters, they should be a tough team to overcome for the Atlanta Hawks.

Form Miami Heat

The Miami Heat have won six out of their last ten games, most recently prevailing with a 123-110 score against the Orlando Magic. At home this season, they have gone 27-14, with eight out of the last ten contests at the Kaseya Center resulting in a victory.

The Miami Heat have been having trouble scoring points this season. Their average of 109.5 points per game is one of the lowest in the NBA going into Tuesday’s matchup. The defense of this team has been relentless. They have one of the best defenses in the league, allowing only 109.8 points per game this season and 110.4 points in the last five matches.

With their eyes set on a coveted playoff spot, the Miami Heat are optimistic about their chances in the play-in tournament. Their 44-38 regular season record was the best of all Eastern play-in teams. They’re now ready to show their opponents what they’re made of.

The only reported injury concern for the Miami Heat is Nikola Jovic.

Form Atlanta Hawks

The Atlanta Hawks have been dominant in recent games against teams in their Southeast Division, winning four in a row. Their most recent game ended 120-114 against the Boston Celtics, giving them a 5-5 record for their last ten outings.

The Atlanta Hawks have achieved a remarkable average of 118.4 points per game this season, with an impressive 117.2 road points. Struggling on the defensive end, the Atlanta Hawks have been getting pummeled lately. In their last five games, they’ve given up a worrying 121.4 points. Their season average currently stands at 118.1 points.

The Atlanta Hawks are fired up for their shot at the playoffs, their eyes locked on that highly coveted No.7 seed. As the eighth-best team in the Eastern Conference, they’re not taking any chances and are more than ready to give their opponents a run for their money.

The Atlanta Hawks have 5 players injured for the upcoming match in Clint Capela, Bogdan Bogdanovic, John Collins, Dejounte Murray, and Trae Young.


The Miami Heat won their last two matches against the Atlanta Hawks. The latest game finished with a 130-128 score in March 2023, while the game before that ended in a 117-109 victory in March 2023. The Miami Heat can’t wait to welcome Atlanta Hawks at the Kaseya Center, no doubt expecting to continue their dominant display against their coming visitors. They are 7-3 in the last ten meetings, and claimed eight wins from the past eight encounters in front of their home crowd.

The Miami Heat managed an average of 110.1 points a game in their ten most recent outings against the Atlanta Hawks, who averaged 103.8 points.



Bet365 offers odds for the Miami Heat and the Atlanta Hawks standoff.To view the complete list of odds

  • Moneyline (ML): Atlanta Hawks (+175) | Miami Heat (-210)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Atlanta Hawks +5.0 (-110) | Miami Heat -5.0 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 227.0 (-110) | (-110)

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Bet on the Miami Heat to win (1.48) on the moneyline.

The Miami Heat are 44-38 SU at the Kaseya Center. Their record for the last five home games is 4-1 SU, leaving the hosts 6-4 SU in the last 10 overall. The Atlanta Hawks are not the favorites for this game, as they are the +175 underdogs. Their recent form does not help their cause either, as they have won only five of their last ten matches. Things have not been good for the away side, with their last game ending in defeat to the Boston Celtics, 120-114.

The Miami Heat are heavily favored to win due to their stellar defensive play this season. They have been extremely effective at limiting the scoring of other teams, giving them one of the most impressive records in the league. This could be a deciding factor when they take on the Atlanta Hawks, who have been prone to giving up too many points for comfort.

Against the Spread

Take the Atlanta Hawks +5.0 (1.91) as they are the best bet.

The Kaseya Center opens up to the Miami Heat as the 5-point favorites over the Atlanta Hawks. Against the Atlanta Hawks at the Kaseya Center recently, the Miami Heat went 8-2, winning their games by an average of 10.4 points.

The Miami Heat were a successful bet in four of their past five games held at the Kaseya Center. Their overall home stats this season stand at 14-25-2 ATS. In their past ten matches, the Miami Heat beat the spread five times. They scored 113.0 points per game on average, while their opponents averaged 110.8 points.

The Atlanta Hawks have been a miss for spread betting lately, having gone two straight games without covering. This has dropped their season record to 36-46 ATS. In their last ten games, the Atlanta Hawks have had success covering four of them. Specifically in Eastern Conference matchups, they achieved a 49-62 ATS record recently.


Take the Total over 227.0 (1.91) for the best over/under bet

There has been a trend of low-scoring games between the Miami Heat and the Atlanta Hawks recently. The points have just not been there for either team. In fact, in their past ten matchups, the total only averaged 213.9 points.

The total line is set at 227.0. The Miami Heat and the Atlanta Hawks’s combined points total has not exceeded this 227.0 line in eight of their previous ten matchups. Betting Under on the Total market returns odds of -110.

The Miami Heat went over in their last seven games at the Kaseya Center. Their home record is 23-18 O/U. In the last five Miami Heat home games, the average total points was 243.4. The score exceeded the total line five times, going 7-3 O/U across the past ten overall.

The last five Atlanta Hawks games went over. Their record for the season is now 46-35 O/U. The visitors have gone 18-18 O/U in their most recent matchups against Southeast teams. They are 7-3 O/U in their last ten games overall.

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