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Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction

On Tuesday, the Miami Heat (3-0) will host the Boston Celtics (0-3) at the Kaseya Center for Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Finals. The Boston Celtics haven’t kept pace with the Miami Heat in the playoffs, dropping to an 0-3 series deficit after a 128-102 loss in Game 3. The Kaseya Center will be buzzing as the Miami Heat hit the court with a shot at sweeping the series. The Boston Celtics face their toughest challenge yet. Will they seize the moment or wilt under the pressure?

Form Miami Heat

The Miami Heat have dominated at the Kaseya Center by winning their last seven home games. They’re hungry for even more success, and having just overcome the Boston Celtics 128-102, confidence is high within the team.

The Miami Heat have been having trouble scoring points this season. Their average of 110.1 points per game is one of the lowest in the NBA going into Tuesday’s matchup. Defensively, the Miami Heat have restricted opponents to 109.5 points per game on average and 108.6 points in their own arena.

The Miami Heat have shattered expectations by making it to the Eastern Conference Finals. Despite doubters predicting a relatively early playoff exit, this team has proven itself to be a major contender on the court.

The Miami Heat will be without both Victor Oladipo and Tyler Herro for their latest game.

Jimmy Butler is on an absolute tear in the postseason. The Miami Heat superstar has scorched the scoreboard with 441 points across 15 playoff and play-in games, crushing the competition with an average of 29.4 points per game. Bam Adebayo sits behind him at 17.1 points, while Max Strus has scored 11.9 points on average.

Form Boston Celtics

After dropping three games in a row, the Boston Celtics are skating on thin ice. Their last 10 games have resulted in a 4-6 record. This season, their away record stands at 29-19. The pressure is now on for the away team to turn things around.

The Boston Celtics have been one of the NBA’s top scoring teams this season. Ahead of Tuesday’s match, the away side has an average of 117.3 points per game. With their rock-solid defense, the Boston Celtics are making sure no opponent is getting an easy ride. They’re averaging just 111.3 points per game this season in points allowed, including 107.2 in their last five games!

Danilo Gallinari is the only reported injury concern for the Boston Celtics ahead of Tuesday’s game.

Jayson Tatum leads the postseason scoring charts with an average of 27.8 points from 16 games. Jaylen Brown holds the second spot among the Boston Celtics scorers with an average of 23.1 points, followed by Marcus Smart with an average of 14.6 points.


The Boston Celtics and the Miami Heat had quite the rivalry during the regular season. They went back and forth with two wins each. In the playoffs, the Miami Heat have emerged as the dominant force. The hosts are on the brink of sweeping the series 4-0. They won the first two games at the TD Garden by 116-123 and 105-111, before winning 128-102 in front of their home crowd at the Kaseya Center.

In the prior contest, Gabe Vincent shined, accounting for 29 points with a 78.6% shooting success rate. The Miami Heat player was also successful on six three-pointers, with a 66.7% accuracy. Jayson Tatum put on a great show himself, as the Boston Celtics star notched a double-double with 14 points and ten rebounds.

In their past ten meetings, the Miami Heat pulled off 110 points on average per game, whereas Boston Celtics managed 106 points per match.


Bet365.com has the betting odds for the Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics matchup on Tuesday. Check the link here for a full list of bets.

  • Moneyline (ML): Boston Celtics (+105) | Miami Heat (-125)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Boston Celtics +1.5 (-110) | Miami Heat -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 215.5 (-110) | (-110)

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Bet on the Miami Heat to win (1.80) on the moneyline.

The Miami Heat enter Tuesday’s matchup as the favorites, priced at -125 odds. This implies there is a 56% probability that this match will end in a home win. Considering they’re riding a seven-game win streak at the Kaseya Center, and won their last match, the Miami Heat will surely fancy their chances. The Boston Celtics are not favored to come out on top with +105 moneyline odds set for a road win. They have been inconsistent away from home lately, dropping five of their last ten road games. Their most recent game resulted in a 128-102 defeat by the Miami Heat.

We like the Miami Heat to win outright against an out-of-sorts Boston Celtics. The hosts are 56-42 for the season and are in brilliant form, winning their last four games in a row.

Against the Spread

Betting on the Miami Heat -1.5 (1.91) is our favorite play for this matchup.

It has the look of a game that could go either way, with the Miami Heat opening up as the 1.5-point favorite. The Miami Heat won three of their last five home encounters in this series, averaging a 13.0-point differential in their favor.

Backing the Miami Heat to cover in their last four matches would’ve paid out. Their season record is 42-53-3 ATS. The Miami Heat have built up some impressive stats in point spread betting lately. In their last five home matches, they covered the spread four times. Their overall record for the past 10 rounds is 8-2 ATS.

The Boston Celtics have had a three-game streak of failing to cover the spread. Their record for the season is 54-43 ATS. The Boston Celtics failed to cover in five of their previous ten rounds, scoring 109.8 points and conceding 107.5 points on average.


Take the Total over 215.5 (1.91) for the best over/under bet

It appears that the Miami Heat and the Boston Celtics are bracing for a difficult, low-scoring game, based on their past encounters. The last ten matchups between them have yielded an average of 216 points.

The Miami Heat and the Boston Celtics have scored more than 215.5 points in five out of their last ten encounters, resulting in -110 odds for betting Over on the Total market. This makes it very attractive to bet Over on the Total market.

The Miami Heat are 50-46 O/U for the season. In four of their last five games, the total has gone over. Fans have witnessed 210.4 points on average in the last five Miami Heat home games. The score dipped below the total two times, going 6-3 O/U in the last ten matches overall.

The Boston Celtics are 22-25 O/U on the road this season, with six of their last seven away games going over. The total has gone over in three of the previous five Boston Celtics games, averaging 221.2 points. The Over is 7-3 in the 10 most recent contests.

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