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Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets Game 4 Prediction, Picks, & Odds

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

Game 4 of the NBA Finals will see the Miami Heat (1-2) take on the Denver Nuggets (2-1) at the Friday on Friday. The Denver Nuggets gained a 2-1 series lead against the Miami Heat by claiming a 109-94 win in Game 3. The Miami Heat are determined to even the playing field in this crucial encounter. Can they take up the gauntlet and emerge victorious? Or will the Denver Nuggets manage to gain a 3-1 advantage?

Form Miami Heat

The Miami Heat are hoping that their recent 94-109 loss to the Denver Nuggets will be quickly forgotten and that they can return to their winning ways. Their previous 10 games have yielded a 5-5 record and they have a 34-18 record at the Kaseya Center for the entire campaign.

Recently, the Miami Heat have not been doing well in terms of their scoring. In the past five games, their average score was only 100.8 points, which is significantly lower than their season average of 109.4 points. The defense of this team has been relentless. They have one of the best defenses in the league, allowing only 109.2 points per game this season and 101.8 points in the last five matches.

The Miami Heat have defied all expectations and exceeded all limitations! Originally predicted to only make it to the Eastern Conference semi-finals, they are now ready to dominate the competition and claim the coveted title of NBA champions.

Victor Oladipo, Cody Zeller, and Tyler Herro are all hampered by injuries ahead of the latest Miami Heat game.

Jimmy Butler has been absolutely dominant in the postseason! Not only has he led the Miami Heat in scoring with an incredible 27.2 points over 22 playoff and play-in games, but he’s also been snatching up 6.4 rebounds and dishing out 5.9 assists per game. Talk about a triple threat! Butler is showing the world that he’s not just a superstar, he’s a force to be reckoned with.

Form Denver Nuggets

The Denver Nuggets boosted their 10-game record against the Miami Heat to 8-2 after their 94-109 victory. They’ve achieved a success rate of 67 out of 100 games in the season, 24 of which were away matches.

The Denver Nuggets have scored an average of 115.6 points during 100 NBA games, putting them in the middle tier among all teams. The Denver Nuggets have been a force to be reckoned with on defense. They’ve allowed just 111.4 per game on average this season and 103.4 points over their previous five games.

The Denver Nuggets came out swinging from the start of the postseason. From their early victories to their impressive run in the Western playoffs, these ballplayers are on a mission to win the NBA title at all costs.

The only reported injury concern for the Denver Nuggets is Collin Gillespie. All other players are ready to hit the court and bring their A-game!

With 18 playoff appearances under his belt, Nikola Jokic has proven himself with a whopping 182 assists. He’s leading the Denver Nuggets with 10.1 assists per game. Not to mention, he’s been consistently contributing with an average of 30.5 points and 13.3 rebounds.

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets H2H

The epic showdown between the Miami Heat and the Denver Nuggets took place twice in the regular season. Unfortunately for the Miami Heat, they were unable to secure a single victory, while the Denver Nuggets took down their opponents not once, but twice! In Game 3 of their playoff round, the Denver Nuggets snatched a 94-109 victory away to the Miami Heat. This has given them a 2-1 series lead ahead of Friday’s match.

In the previous matchup, Bam Adebayo snagged a team-leading 17 rebounds. He completed a double-double for the Miami Heat by scoring 22 points. Nikola Jokic snagged 21 rebounds in a stellar triple-double performance for the Denver Nuggets, scoring 32 points and dishing out a further ten assists.

While the Miami Heat averaged 101.7 points, the Denver Nuggets performed an average of 109.9 points in their ten most recent standoffs.

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets Betting

Bet365 has the odds for the Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets game at the Kaseya Center.To see all the options available

  • Moneyline (ML): Denver Nuggets (-155) | Miami Heat (+135)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Denver Nuggets -3.0 (-115) | Miami Heat +3.0 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 210.5 (-110) | (-110)

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Bet on the Denver Nuggets to win (1.65) on the moneyline.

It is difficult to dispute the +135 odds for a Miami Heat victory here. They have endured a three-game losing streak at the Kaseya Center after their 94-109 defeat to the Denver Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets are looking to bag another victory in this series against the Miami Heat. According to the moneyline odds, the visitors have a 61% chance of a road win. They have gone 8-2 against the Miami Heat in their most recent matchups.

Take a chance on the Denver Nuggets to win the game. In their last 10 meetings with the Miami Heat, they have had a record of 8-2 and recently they achieved a 94-109 victory at the Kaseya Center in June 2023.

Against the Spread

Bet on the Miami Heat +3.0 (1.95) to cover the spread.

The oddsmakers have installed the Denver Nuggets as the 3-point favorites. This implies the game should be a close one with the potential for an away victory, albeit by a slim margin. They’ve triumphed in four of their last five trips to the Kaseya Center, winning by an average of 13.8 points.

This season, the Miami Heat have gone 45-57-3 ATS in all games. Their record at the Kaseya Center is 21-29-2 ATS. In their previous ten matches, the Miami Heat covered six times. They had a scoring average of 106.2 points and conceded 105.8 points.

The Denver Nuggets have covered the spread in their last four road games. Their record away from home is 23-24 ATS. Based on their past ten road contests, the Denver Nuggets covered six times. They kept their opponents down to 112.5 points per game and scored 116.0 points on average.


Take Total over 210.5 (1.91).

The last ten meetings between the Miami Heat and the Denver Nuggets have been characterized by minimal scoring, with an average of 211.6 points between them.

In five of their last ten meetings, the Miami Heat and the Denver Nuggets have tallied more than 210.5 points, giving -110 odds when betting Over on the Total market. This makes betting Over on the Total market an especially inviting proposition.

The last three Miami Heat games at the Kaseya Center went under. Their record at home is 26-25 O/U. Fans have witnessed 208.6 points on average in the last five Miami Heat home games. The score dipped below the total four times, going 4-6 O/U in the last ten matches overall.

The last two Denver Nuggets road games went under the total. Their record away from home is 25-22 O/U. The Denver Nuggets had four of their previous 10 games going above the predicted total line, averaging 223.7 points.

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