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Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Prediction

On Monday, the Miami Heat will head to the Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets in the fifth game of the NBA Finals. With a 3-1 series lead, Denver Nuggets secured a 108-95 victory in Game 4 and will look to close out the series against the Miami Heat and progress. It looks like it’s going to be a tight game, with the Denver Nuggets and the Miami Heat displaying excellent defensive capabilities recently. The outcome of this match could be decided in the final moments.

Form Denver Nuggets

The court was ablaze as the Denver Nuggets trampled the Miami Heat 95-108 in their last showdown. Based on their past 10 outings, the hosts are on a 9-1 run. They have gone 43-8 at the Ball Arena this season.

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 115.5 points per game in the NBA this season and 118.2 points when playing at the Ball Arena. Defensively, there has been no letup. They boast one of the league’s stingiest defenses, having restricted opponents to 111.2 points per game this season and 100.8 points across their last five matches.

The Denver Nuggets had their sights firmly set on the NBA championship from the word go. All the effort they have put in has paid off, resulting in a 68-33 record. Now they must put forth their best effort on the court to determine if they have what it takes to clinch the Larry O’Brien NBA Championship Trophy.

Collin Gillespie is the only reported injury concern for the Denver Nuggets ahead of Monday’s game.

Nikola Jokic has been a standout in the playoffs, leading the Denver Nuggets in scoring with 30.1 points, as well as averaging 13.3 rebounds and 9.8 assists.

Form Miami Heat

After suffering a 95-108 loss to the Denver Nuggets, the Miami Heat saw their losing streak extend to two games. Over the course of their last 10 matches, they’ve gone 4-6, and have posted a 24-29 record away from home this season.

The Miami Heat are scoring 109.3 points on average in the NBA this season and 108.3 points on the road. The Miami Heat have been a defensive powerhouse all season. They’ve limited opponents to an impressive 109.2 points on average, including 102.6 in their previous five outings.

The Miami Heat defied all expectations by surpassing their playoff prognostications and reaching the NBA Finals. Initially, it was believed they wouldn’t go very far, but this has been a thrilling journey. Now, with only one more step left to take for the title, can they get the job done?

Victor Oladipo, Tyler Herro are both out injured for the Miami Heat.

Jimmy Butler has been tearing it in the postseason. The Miami Heat star is more than a scoring machine with 27.1 points in 23 playoff and play-in games. He’s a triple threat, having also grabbed an average of 6.4 rebounds per game and dishing out assists like nobody’s business with 5.9 per game.


The Denver Nuggets were triumphant in their recent two matchups with the Miami Heat, with the most recent match ending in a 95-108 victory in June 2023, preceded by a 94-109 win in June 2023. The Denver Nuggets are leading the playoff series 3-1 and need only one more win to clinch it. They’ve been doing great lately, having won two consecutive matches – the first being a 94-109 defeat of the Miami Heat and the second a 95-108 victory.

In the prior confrontation, Nikola Jokic collected the most rebounds of any Denver Nuggets player with 12. He managed to secure a double-double by putting in 23 points. Jimmy Butler shined on the court himself with 25 points on 52.9% shooting. He even grabbed seven rebounds and made seven assists for the Miami Heat.

While the Denver Nuggets averaged 109.8 points, the Miami Heat performed an average of 103 points in their ten most recent standoffs.


To see Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat odds for Monday’s showdown, visit Bet365.com.They offer numerous wagering opportunities on their website.

  • Moneyline (ML): Miami Heat (+325) | Denver Nuggets (-426)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Miami Heat +9.0 (-110) | Denver Nuggets -9.0 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 208.5 (-110) | (-110)

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Go for the Denver Nuggets to win (1.24) on the moneyline.

Going into Monday’s game, the Denver Nuggets have had an impressive two-game winning streak. They have a great record when playing at Ball Arena, with nine out of the last ten home games ending in a win. According to the odds of -426, they have a 81% chance of extending their success at home. Despite being +325 underdogs, the Miami Heat have had a good run on the road, posting a 6-4 record in their past ten away games. They did, however, lose their most recent match against the Denver Nuggets with a score of 95-108.

Betting on the Denver Nuggets at -426 for the outright victory is too hard to pass up. The Ball Arena has been a successful one for the hosts this season with a 43-8 record, and they have won four out of the last five home games.

Against the Spread

Bet on the Denver Nuggets -9.0 (1.91) to cover the spread.

It’s heating up as the Denver Nuggets open up as the blazing 9-point favorites over the Miami Heat! Against the Miami Heat at the Ball Arena recently, the Denver Nuggets went 7-3, winning their games by an average of 12.4 points.

The Denver Nuggets have covered in five of their last six games. Their season record 55-43-1 ATS. The Denver Nuggets have gone 61-61 ATS in their recent matchups against opponents from the Eastern Conference. They failed to cover in three of their last ten matches.

The Miami Heat have a 24-28-1 ATS road record for the season, going 45-58-3 ATS in all games. The Miami Heat covered five times in their last ten games, scoring an average of 103.4 points and conceding 105.0 points.


Total over 208.5 (1.91) is our pick.

Recently, the Denver Nuggets and the Miami Heat have had a string of low-scoring games. Neither team has managed to put up a lot of points. In fact, over the past ten meetings, the two teams have averaged just 212.8 points.

The total line is set at 208.5. The Denver Nuggets and the Miami Heat’ combined points total has surpassed this 208.5 line six times in their last ten meetings. This gives the -110 odds for betting Over on the Total market a lot of appeal.

The total went under in the last two Denver Nuggets games. Their record for the season is now 46-52 O/U. The total went over in half the previous 10 Denver Nuggets home games, averaging 216.6 points. The hosts are 3-7 O/U in their last 10 contests overall.

The Miami Heat are 51-53 O/U this season. Their last two games finished under the total. In the past five Miami Heat road games, the total went under three times and averaged 205.2 points. The Under is 3-7 in the past 10 contests overall.

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