NBA and NFL betting tips and match previews.

New England Patriots vs Houston Texans NFL match analysis, predictions and odds

The New England Patriots and Houston Texans kick off the pre-season with an AFC conference showdown. The game takes place on Thursday, 10th at 7:00 PM at Gillette Stadium. Both teams are hungry for a comeback after failing to make the playoffs last season. This is only the second time these teams have faced off in preseason action, with the Houston Texans taking home a 27-23 victory in their previous matchup on August 19, 2017.

Form New England Patriots

The New England Patriots finished below the .500 mark in the previous season, going 8-9 in 17 games. Their last match ended in a 35-23 defeat to the Buffalo Bills.

Offensively, the New England Patriots didn’t disappoint, averaging 21.4 points per game. However, it seems like they had some trouble scoring on their home turf, only averaging 19.4 points. On the defensive side of the ball, they held their own by only giving up an average of 20.4 points per game, putting them 11th in the league.

The excitement is palpable as the New England Patriots gear up for the new season. After falling short of the playoffs last year, they’re laser-focused on making it all the way this time around. They remain one of the strongest teams in the AFC East and are hungry to secure their spot in the postseason.

Form Houston Texans

The Houston Texans wrapped up last season with a 3-13-1 record, going 3-6 on the road. The visitors didn’t let that bring them down though. They fought hard and managed to come out on top in their final game against the Indianapolis Colts with a thrilling 32-31 victory.

In offense, the Houston Texans were one of the worst-performing teams. They finished with a scoring average of 17.0 points per game. Things weren’t much better in defense, with the team giving up 24.7 points on average.

Last season, the Houston Texans faced a tough battle that left them with a bittersweet aftertaste. They fell short of reaching the playoffs and ended up with the worst record in the AFC Conference. This year, they’re back with a fire in their hearts and a determination to turn things around.


The New England Patriots came away with a 22-25 win in their previous encounter with the Houston Texans at the NRG Stadium on October 2021. The New England Patriots can’t wait to welcome Houston Texans at the Gillette Stadium, no doubt expecting to continue their dominant display against their coming visitors. They are 7-3 in the last ten meetings, and claimed seven wins from the past seven encounters in front of their home crowd.

The New England Patriots tallied 27.5 points on average per game from their ten most matchups the Houston Texans. The latter managed an average of 21 points in comparison.


Houston Texans at New England Patriots odds

Odds for Houston Texans vs New England Patriots is Provided by Bet365. For a full list of odds for the match visit Bet365.com

  • Moneyline (ML): Houston Texans (1.91) | New England Patriots (1.91)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Houston Texans +1.0 (1.87) | New England Patriots -1.0 (1.95)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 38.5 (1.91) | (1.91)

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We like the New England Patriots to win (1.91) for our Moneyline bet as they’re too good to pass up at these odds.

The New England Patriots have dominated this series in recent years, coming out on top in seven of the last ten matchups. Will the Houston Texans be able to break through and secure a victory? They’ve won their past two road games, but ended up as the losing team in their last seven visits to the Gillette Stadium.

Our pick for the outright win is the New England Patriots (1.91). Not only do they look like the stronger choice, but they have a history of dominating the Houston Texans at the Gillette Stadium.

Against the Spread

Take the New England Patriots -1.0 (1.95) as they are the best bet.

According to oddsmakers, the New England Patriots are expected to win by a narrow margin of one point over the Houston Texans, indicating that the game could go either way. The last five games between these teams saw an average winning margin of 5.2 points, just slightly higher than the current 1-point spread.

The New England Patriots finished the previous season with a 7-9-1 ATS record in 17 games. Their performances at the Gillette Stadium weren’t much better at 3-5 ATS. The hosts are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games.

The Houston Texans, on the other hand, have covered the spread in four of their last five games. The visitors went 8-8-1 ATS in 17 games last season, including 5-3-1 ATS on the road.


Total over 38.5 (1.91) is the right play for this match.

There was an average of 48.5 points scored in the previous ten clashes between the New England Patriots and the Houston Texans.

The average total from the last five meetings between the New England Patriots and Houston Texans was 52 points, 13.5 points higher than 38.5—the number set by the oddsmakers for Thursday’s contest at the Gillette Stadium.

During the last season, in 17 games, the New England Patriots’ record was 8-9 O/U, and they had a 3-5 O/U record while playing at the Gillette Stadium. In the last five home games, the total went under in four of them.

As for the Houston Texans, the visitors went 7-10 O/U last season and 4-5 O/U on the road. Looking back over the last nine games, the total went over six times.

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